Trader consensus favoring a 14–15°C low for Seoul on May 17 arises from ensemble guidance showing limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a weak southerly flow. Recent high-pressure ridging has promoted clear conditions that enhance heat loss, yet marginal warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated dew points are preventing deeper drops below 14°C. Korea Meteorological Administration model runs indicate the 2-meter temperature minimum will hinge on the exact timing of increasing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical May climatology placing the average low near 13°C. Updated forecasts tonight could shift odds if wind speeds increase or if a drier air mass arrives earlier than projected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле 17 мая?
14°C 33%
15°C 31%
16°C 11%
13°C 7.3%
12°C или ниже
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
33%
15°C
31%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
14°C 33%
15°C 31%
16°C 11%
13°C 7.3%
12°C или ниже
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
33%
15°C
31%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus favoring a 14–15°C low for Seoul on May 17 arises from ensemble guidance showing limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a weak southerly flow. Recent high-pressure ridging has promoted clear conditions that enhance heat loss, yet marginal warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated dew points are preventing deeper drops below 14°C. Korea Meteorological Administration model runs indicate the 2-meter temperature minimum will hinge on the exact timing of increasing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical May climatology placing the average low near 13°C. Updated forecasts tonight could shift odds if wind speeds increase or if a drier air mass arrives earlier than projected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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