Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models currently project a Seoul nighttime low of exactly 14°C on May 16, under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that favor efficient radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with mid-May climatology at the Seoul Central Observatory, where historical minima typically range from 12°C to 16°C amid transitioning spring conditions. Recent drier air following early-month precipitation has further supported overnight temperature drops without significant urban heat-island effects. Trader positioning reflects strong model agreement on this threshold, though a modest increase in cloud cover or wind speed overnight could realistically nudge the observed low to 13°C or 15°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле 16 мая?
14°C 99.6%
13°C или ниже <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,256 Объем
$44,256 Объем
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
14°C 99.6%
13°C или ниже <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,256 Объем
$44,256 Объем
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models currently project a Seoul nighttime low of exactly 14°C on May 16, under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that favor efficient radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with mid-May climatology at the Seoul Central Observatory, where historical minima typically range from 12°C to 16°C amid transitioning spring conditions. Recent drier air following early-month precipitation has further supported overnight temperature drops without significant urban heat-island effects. Trader positioning reflects strong model agreement on this threshold, though a modest increase in cloud cover or wind speed overnight could realistically nudge the observed low to 13°C or 15°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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