Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (90.5% implied probability) for the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and aligned global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting a peak around 33°C (92°F). This positioning reflects ample daytime heating under partly cloudy skies following minor morning showers, with light winds and typical May climatology—daily highs averaging 31°C during the rainy season onset—bolstered by recent high-pressure ridging suppressing widespread convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms increasing cloud cover and capping solar insolation, or urban heat island effects proving milder than modeled; hourly observations from official stations will refine this through evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
32°C or higher 91%
31°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
29°C 1.0%
$15,302 Объем
$15,302 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
91%
32°C or higher 91%
31°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
29°C 1.0%
$15,302 Объем
$15,302 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
28°C
$1,692 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,949 Объем
1%
30°C
$2,106 Объем
1%
31°C
$2,272 Объем
9%
32°C or higher
$1,992 Объем
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (90.5% implied probability) for the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and aligned global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting a peak around 33°C (92°F). This positioning reflects ample daytime heating under partly cloudy skies following minor morning showers, with light winds and typical May climatology—daily highs averaging 31°C during the rainy season onset—bolstered by recent high-pressure ridging suppressing widespread convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms increasing cloud cover and capping solar insolation, or urban heat island effects proving milder than modeled; hourly observations from official stations will refine this through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Объем
$15,302Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (90.5% implied probability) for the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and aligned global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting a peak around 33°C (92°F). This positioning reflects ample daytime heating under partly cloudy skies following minor morning showers, with light winds and typical May climatology—daily highs averaging 31°C during the rainy season onset—bolstered by recent high-pressure ridging suppressing widespread convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms increasing cloud cover and capping solar insolation, or urban heat island effects proving milder than modeled; hourly observations from official stations will refine this through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$15,302Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C or higher (90.5% implied probability) for the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and aligned global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting a peak around 33°C (92°F). This positioning reflects ample daytime heating under partly cloudy skies following minor morning showers, with light winds and typical May climatology—daily highs averaging 31°C during the rainy season onset—bolstered by recent high-pressure ridging suppressing widespread convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms increasing cloud cover and capping solar insolation, or urban heat island effects proving milder than modeled; hourly observations from official stations will refine this through evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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