Latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF indicate minimal convective activity and abundant solar insolation over Panama on May 17, supporting peak temperatures of 33°C or higher and driving the 62.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Typical May conditions feature highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and scattered showers, yet current steering patterns and reduced cloud cover favor greater daytime heating. Model consensus shows only modest disagreement on timing of any late-day instability, keeping sub-32°C probabilities low at 11.5% or less. Traders are weighting the warm bias heavily ahead of the next model update cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 17 мая?
33°C or higher 57%
32°C 29%
31°C 12%
30°C 2.8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
29%
33°C or higher
57%
33°C or higher 57%
32°C 29%
31°C 12%
30°C 2.8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
29%
33°C or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest ensemble forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF indicate minimal convective activity and abundant solar insolation over Panama on May 17, supporting peak temperatures of 33°C or higher and driving the 62.5% market-implied odds for that outcome. Typical May conditions feature highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and scattered showers, yet current steering patterns and reduced cloud cover favor greater daytime heating. Model consensus shows only modest disagreement on timing of any late-day instability, keeping sub-32°C probabilities low at 11.5% or less. Traders are weighting the warm bias heavily ahead of the next model update cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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