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Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?

57°F или ниже 95.3%

58-59°F 2.8%

60-61°F <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$19,029 Объем

57°F или ниже 95.3%

58-59°F 2.8%

60-61°F <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$19,029 Объем

57°F или ниже

$2,347 Объем

95%

58-59°F

$3,365 Объем

3%

60-61°F

$2,636 Объем

1%

62-63°F

$1,388 Объем

1%

64-65°F

$1,223 Объем

<1%

66-67°F

$1,706 Объем

<1%

68-69°F

$1,590 Объем

<1%

70-71°F

$1,314 Объем

<1%

72-73°F

$1,109 Объем

<1%

74-75°F

$1,499 Объем

<1%

76°F или выше

$891 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a Seattle high temperature of 57°F or below (95.4% implied probability), aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a maximum near 56°F amid persistent marine layer clouds, southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40-50% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This marks a sharp cool-down from early May's record heat, including an 82°F high at Seattle-Tacoma Airport on May 12, as a weakening upper-level ridge yields to cool Pacific air advection and increased onshore flow. Model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on subdued daytime heating, with climatological May averages around 65°F far exceeded recently but now irrelevant. Realistic challenges include unexpected ridge amplification or prolonged clearing, potentially lifting highs into the low 60s, though fresh 00Z model runs tonight and real-time observations from Sea-Tacoma Airport will refine this before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$19,029
Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a Seattle high temperature of 57°F or below (95.4% implied probability), aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a maximum near 56°F amid persistent marine layer clouds, southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40-50% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This marks a sharp cool-down from early May's record heat, including an 82°F high at Seattle-Tacoma Airport on May 12, as a weakening upper-level ridge yields to cool Pacific air advection and increased onshore flow. Model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on subdued daytime heating, with climatological May averages around 65°F far exceeded recently but now irrelevant. Realistic challenges include unexpected ridge amplification or prolonged clearing, potentially lifting highs into the low 60s, though fresh 00Z model runs tonight and real-time observations from Sea-Tacoma Airport will refine this before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$19,029
Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «57°F или ниже» с 95%, за ним следует «58-59°F» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 95¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $19K с момента запуска рынка May 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?» — «57°F или ниже» с 95%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Следующий ближайший исход — «58-59°F» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.