Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a Seattle high temperature of 57°F or below (95.4% implied probability), aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a maximum near 56°F amid persistent marine layer clouds, southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40-50% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This marks a sharp cool-down from early May's record heat, including an 82°F high at Seattle-Tacoma Airport on May 12, as a weakening upper-level ridge yields to cool Pacific air advection and increased onshore flow. Model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on subdued daytime heating, with climatological May averages around 65°F far exceeded recently but now irrelevant. Realistic challenges include unexpected ridge amplification or prolonged clearing, potentially lifting highs into the low 60s, though fresh 00Z model runs tonight and real-time observations from Sea-Tacoma Airport will refine this before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 мая?
57°F или ниже 95.3%
58-59°F 2.8%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$19,029 Объем
$19,029 Объем
57°F или ниже
95%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F или выше
<1%
57°F или ниже 95.3%
58-59°F 2.8%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$19,029 Объем
$19,029 Объем
57°F или ниже
95%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a Seattle high temperature of 57°F or below (95.4% implied probability), aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a maximum near 56°F amid persistent marine layer clouds, southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph, and a 40-50% chance of showers or thunderstorms. This marks a sharp cool-down from early May's record heat, including an 82°F high at Seattle-Tacoma Airport on May 12, as a weakening upper-level ridge yields to cool Pacific air advection and increased onshore flow. Model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on subdued daytime heating, with climatological May averages around 65°F far exceeded recently but now irrelevant. Realistic challenges include unexpected ridge amplification or prolonged clearing, potentially lifting highs into the low 60s, though fresh 00Z model runs tonight and real-time observations from Sea-Tacoma Airport will refine this before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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