Latest National Weather Service guidance and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project New York City-area highs near 86°F on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and ample sunshine, explaining the trader consensus favoring 86-87°F (33%) over adjacent bins. Divergence arises from ECMWF's drier boundary layer implying slightly cooler 84-85°F peaks versus GFS's enhanced mixing supporting 88-89°F, with urban heat island effects at LaGuardia Airport station amplifying variability by 1-2°F. Recent 12Z runs on May 15 trended marginally warmer amid low-level southerly flow, though sea breeze potential adds uncertainty; monitor evening 00Z updates for refined probabilities before resolution. Historical May mid-afternoon peaks average 72°F, underscoring the warm anomaly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 мая?
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 19%
90-91°F 8.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 мая 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
2%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F или выше
<1%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 19%
90-91°F 8.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 мая 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
$1,808 Объем
2%
80-81°F
$807 Объем
2%
82-83°F
$773 Объем
7%
84-85°F
$259 Объем
27%
86-87°F
$265 Объем
35%
88-89°F
$248 Объем
19%
90-91°F
$192 Объем
8%
92-93°F
$120 Объем
3%
94-95°F
$173 Объем
1%
96-97°F
$335 Объем
<1%
98°F или выше
$349 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project New York City-area highs near 86°F on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and ample sunshine, explaining the trader consensus favoring 86-87°F (33%) over adjacent bins. Divergence arises from ECMWF's drier boundary layer implying slightly cooler 84-85°F peaks versus GFS's enhanced mixing supporting 88-89°F, with urban heat island effects at LaGuardia Airport station amplifying variability by 1-2°F. Recent 12Z runs on May 15 trended marginally warmer amid low-level southerly flow, though sea breeze potential adds uncertainty; monitor evening 00Z updates for refined probabilities before resolution. Historical May mid-afternoon peaks average 72°F, underscoring the warm anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$5,328Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project New York City-area highs near 86°F on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and ample sunshine, explaining the trader consensus favoring 86-87°F (33%) over adjacent bins. Divergence arises from ECMWF's drier boundary layer implying slightly cooler 84-85°F peaks versus GFS's enhanced mixing supporting 88-89°F, with urban heat island effects at LaGuardia Airport station amplifying variability by 1-2°F. Recent 12Z runs on May 15 trended marginally warmer amid low-level southerly flow, though sea breeze potential adds uncertainty; monitor evening 00Z updates for refined probabilities before resolution. Historical May mid-afternoon peaks average 72°F, underscoring the warm anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,328Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGALatest National Weather Service guidance and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project New York City-area highs near 86°F on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and ample sunshine, explaining the trader consensus favoring 86-87°F (33%) over adjacent bins. Divergence arises from ECMWF's drier boundary layer implying slightly cooler 84-85°F peaks versus GFS's enhanced mixing supporting 88-89°F, with urban heat island effects at LaGuardia Airport station amplifying variability by 1-2°F. Recent 12Z runs on May 15 trended marginally warmer amid low-level southerly flow, though sea breeze potential adds uncertainty; monitor evening 00Z updates for refined probabilities before resolution. Historical May mid-afternoon peaks average 72°F, underscoring the warm anomaly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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