Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily high of 28–29°C in Wuhan on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Afternoon showers or thunderstorms, with a 40–60% probability, are the main factor that could suppress peak heating and favor the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatology shows average highs of 26–28°C, so the tight spread between 28°C and 29°C reflects modest model differences in cloud cover and timing of any precipitation rather than unusual atmospheric setup. Updated guidance later today or tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 17 мая?
28°C 42%
29°C 35%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.8%
$17,790 Объем
$17,790 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
42%
29°C
35%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 35%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.8%
$17,790 Объем
$17,790 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
42%
29°C
35%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHCurrent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily high of 28–29°C in Wuhan on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Afternoon showers or thunderstorms, with a 40–60% probability, are the main factor that could suppress peak heating and favor the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Mid-May climatology shows average highs of 26–28°C, so the tight spread between 28°C and 29°C reflects modest model differences in cloud cover and timing of any precipitation rather than unusual atmospheric setup. Updated guidance later today or tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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