BMKG forecasts for May 17 indicate partly cloudy skies and daytime maxima centered on 32–33°C as the early dry season strengthens solar insolation across Jakarta’s equatorial location. This positioning underpins the market’s 47% implied probability on 33°C, reinforced by historical station data from Halim Perdanakusuma showing May highs averaging 32–33°C and amplified by the urban heat island effect from concrete surfaces and emissions. Light convective activity and minimal wind shear limit upside risk to 34°C at 23%, while any afternoon showers could cap readings at 32°C with 21% odds. Model consensus from BMKG and international ensembles shows low variability, with updated hourly observations tomorrow the next key input for refining these trader probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Джакарте 17 мая?
33°C 47%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 8%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
47%
34°C
26%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
31°C 8%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
47%
34°C
26%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHBMKG forecasts for May 17 indicate partly cloudy skies and daytime maxima centered on 32–33°C as the early dry season strengthens solar insolation across Jakarta’s equatorial location. This positioning underpins the market’s 47% implied probability on 33°C, reinforced by historical station data from Halim Perdanakusuma showing May highs averaging 32–33°C and amplified by the urban heat island effect from concrete surfaces and emissions. Light convective activity and minimal wind shear limit upside risk to 34°C at 23%, while any afternoon showers could cap readings at 32°C with 21% odds. Model consensus from BMKG and international ensembles shows low variability, with updated hourly observations tomorrow the next key input for refining these trader probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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