Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance points to sustained pre-monsoon continental heating and upper-level subsidence over Sindh, driving daytime highs in Karachi toward 35–36°C on May 19 amid strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze advection from the Arabian Sea, combined with 40–70% daytime humidity, introduces 1–2°C variability across ensemble models and keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 34–35°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C while still pricing meaningful chance for 34°C or 36°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in sea-breeze timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Карачи 19 мая?
35°C 32%
36°C 23%
34°C 17%
37°C или выше 15%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
17%
35°C
32%
36°C
23%
37°C или выше
15%
35°C 32%
36°C 23%
34°C 17%
37°C или выше 15%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
17%
35°C
32%
36°C
23%
37°C или выше
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCPakistan Meteorological Department guidance points to sustained pre-monsoon continental heating and upper-level subsidence over Sindh, driving daytime highs in Karachi toward 35–36°C on May 19 amid strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze advection from the Arabian Sea, combined with 40–70% daytime humidity, introduces 1–2°C variability across ensemble models and keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 34–35°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C while still pricing meaningful chance for 34°C or 36°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in sea-breeze timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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