Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance points to a sustained heatwave through May 19, with continental air advection and upper-level subsidence driving peak temperatures of 35–37 °C in Karachi on May 17. Strong solar heating under mostly clear skies favors the upper end of that range, yet timing of the Arabian Sea sea breeze and daytime humidity levels between 40–70 % introduce 1–2 °C variability across ensemble forecasts. These factors explain why the market prices 37 °C or higher at 39 %, 36 °C at 28.5 %, and 35 °C at 31 %, with the three leading outcomes clustered tightly around the official forecast envelope. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the Karachi airport station, where even modest shifts in breeze onset or cloud cover can swing the outcome between the contested brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Карачи 17 мая?
37°C или выше 40%
35°C 36%
36°C 25%
34°C 5.4%
$14,464 Объем
$14,464 Объем
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
33%
36°C
25%
37°C или выше
40%
37°C или выше 40%
35°C 36%
36°C 25%
34°C 5.4%
$14,464 Объем
$14,464 Объем
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
33%
36°C
25%
37°C или выше
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCPakistan Meteorological Department guidance points to a sustained heatwave through May 19, with continental air advection and upper-level subsidence driving peak temperatures of 35–37 °C in Karachi on May 17. Strong solar heating under mostly clear skies favors the upper end of that range, yet timing of the Arabian Sea sea breeze and daytime humidity levels between 40–70 % introduce 1–2 °C variability across ensemble forecasts. These factors explain why the market prices 37 °C or higher at 39 %, 36 °C at 28.5 %, and 35 °C at 31 %, with the three leading outcomes clustered tightly around the official forecast envelope. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the Karachi airport station, where even modest shifts in breeze onset or cloud cover can swing the outcome between the contested brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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