Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF cluster Guangzhou's May 19 peak temperatures near 28–30°C, driven by subtropical springtime heating under southerly flow with variable cloud cover and scattered pre-monsoon showers that cap daytime maxima. Historical May averages hover around 29°C at official stations, yet recent observational trends show modest cooling from increased moisture and limited insolation, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values rather than extremes. Traders weigh model spread and potential for clearer skies or heavier rain bands ahead of the final 24-hour update window, which could shift the outcome within the 27–31°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 19 мая?
29°C 25%
28°C 19%
30°C 12%
27°C 10%
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
19%
29°C
25%
30°C
15%
31°C
10%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
29°C 25%
28°C 19%
30°C 12%
27°C 10%
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
19%
29°C
25%
30°C
15%
31°C
10%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGCurrent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF cluster Guangzhou's May 19 peak temperatures near 28–30°C, driven by subtropical springtime heating under southerly flow with variable cloud cover and scattered pre-monsoon showers that cap daytime maxima. Historical May averages hover around 29°C at official stations, yet recent observational trends show modest cooling from increased moisture and limited insolation, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values rather than extremes. Traders weigh model spread and potential for clearer skies or heavier rain bands ahead of the final 24-hour update window, which could shift the outcome within the 27–31°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы