Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–30°C outcomes for Taipei's highest temperature on May 17, reflecting Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts showing a daytime high of 21–29°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, up from mid-week showers that capped May 15 at 22–26°C. This warming trend stems from a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, though model ensembles diverge on peak intensity due to sea breeze influences and urban heat effects at Songshan Airport station. Probabilities differentiate by nuanced factors: 27–28°C if afternoon onshore flows moderate peaks, versus 29–30°C under sustained clear conditions; extremes remain unlikely absent unusual advection. Watch CWA's next update for refined guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 17 мая?
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
31°C 24%
28°C 21%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
21%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
31°C 24%
28°C 21%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
21%
29°C
26%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSTrader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–30°C outcomes for Taipei's highest temperature on May 17, reflecting Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts showing a daytime high of 21–29°C under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, up from mid-week showers that capped May 15 at 22–26°C. This warming trend stems from a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, though model ensembles diverge on peak intensity due to sea breeze influences and urban heat effects at Songshan Airport station. Probabilities differentiate by nuanced factors: 27–28°C if afternoon onshore flows moderate peaks, versus 29–30°C under sustained clear conditions; extremes remain unlikely absent unusual advection. Watch CWA's next update for refined guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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