Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs converge on a mild spring day for London on May 17, with the daily maximum most likely settling at 15–17 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler Atlantic air masses while variable cloud cover caps daytime heating, keeping peak temperatures from climbing higher. This consensus places the highest probability on 16 °C, followed closely by 15 °C, reflecting genuine model spread in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow shows a long-term average near 16–17 °C, so the current outlook sits squarely within historical norms. Traders are monitoring the next 06Z and 12Z model cycles for any shifts in cloud timing or wind strength that could nudge the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 17 мая?
16°C 36%
15°C 28%
17°C 17%
14°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$11,069 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,069 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
15%
15°C
28%
16°C
36%
17°C
17%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 36%
15°C 28%
17°C 17%
14°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$11,069 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,069 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
$697 Объем
<1%
11°C
$573 Объем
<1%
12°C
$1,269 Объем
<1%
13°C
$1,022 Объем
3%
14°C
$963 Объем
15%
15°C
$896 Объем
28%
16°C
$1,010 Объем
36%
17°C
$1,466 Объем
17%
18°C
$885 Объем
6%
19°C
$1,550 Объем
1%
20°C or higher
$738 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs converge on a mild spring day for London on May 17, with the daily maximum most likely settling at 15–17 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler Atlantic air masses while variable cloud cover caps daytime heating, keeping peak temperatures from climbing higher. This consensus places the highest probability on 16 °C, followed closely by 15 °C, reflecting genuine model spread in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow shows a long-term average near 16–17 °C, so the current outlook sits squarely within historical norms. Traders are monitoring the next 06Z and 12Z model cycles for any shifts in cloud timing or wind strength that could nudge the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$11,069Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs converge on a mild spring day for London on May 17, with the daily maximum most likely settling at 15–17 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler Atlantic air masses while variable cloud cover caps daytime heating, keeping peak temperatures from climbing higher. This consensus places the highest probability on 16 °C, followed closely by 15 °C, reflecting genuine model spread in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow shows a long-term average near 16–17 °C, so the current outlook sits squarely within historical norms. Traders are monitoring the next 06Z and 12Z model cycles for any shifts in cloud timing or wind strength that could nudge the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$11,069Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs converge on a mild spring day for London on May 17, with the daily maximum most likely settling at 15–17 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler Atlantic air masses while variable cloud cover caps daytime heating, keeping peak temperatures from climbing higher. This consensus places the highest probability on 16 °C, followed closely by 15 °C, reflecting genuine model spread in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow shows a long-term average near 16–17 °C, so the current outlook sits squarely within historical norms. Traders are monitoring the next 06Z and 12Z model cycles for any shifts in cloud timing or wind strength that could nudge the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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