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icon for Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?

Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?

icon for Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?

Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?

дек. 9

янв. 27, 2027

дек. 9

янв. 27, 2027

3 29%

2 20%

1 20%

0 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

3 29%

2 20%

1 20%

0 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

0

$1,253 Объем

19%

1

$508 Объем

20%

2

$338 Объем

20%

3

$5,719 Объем

29%

4+

$492 Объем

15%

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by the July 2026 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a hike and the April 8-4 split—the widest since 1992—drive the closely matched probabilities around one to three dissents at the January 2027 meeting. Persistent July CPI inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, above the 2% target, alongside core readings near 2.5% and a softening labor market with 4.1% unemployment and July payrolls at -23,000, create policy uncertainty between hawkish concerns over price stability and data-dependent restraint. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at these levels, prices in dispersion from dot-plot projections and upcoming September CPI and employment releases that could shift internal alignments ahead of the January decision.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$8,310
Дата окончания
27 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by the July 2026 9-3 vote with three dissents favoring a hike and the April 8-4 split—the widest since 1992—drive the closely matched probabilities around one to three dissents at the January 2027 meeting. Persistent July CPI inflation at 3.4% year-over-year, above the 2% target, alongside core readings near 2.5% and a softening labor market with 4.1% unemployment and July payrolls at -23,000, create policy uncertainty between hawkish concerns over price stability and data-dependent restraint. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at these levels, prices in dispersion from dot-plot projections and upcoming September CPI and employment releases that could shift internal alignments ahead of the January decision.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$8,310
Дата окончания
27 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Связанные

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Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?

24%
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

62%
icon for Понизит ли ФРС ставку к заседанию в декабре 2026 года?

Понизит ли ФРС ставку к заседанию в декабре 2026 года?

14%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «3» с 29%, за ним следует «1» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 29¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 29%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?» — «3» с 29%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 29%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сколько инакомыслящих на январском заседании ФРС?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.