The current 95% implied probability that charges against former FBI Director James Comey will not be dropped by July 31 stems from the active federal prosecution in the Eastern District of North Carolina. A grand jury returned a two-count indictment in late April 2026 alleging threats against the president and transmission of threats in interstate commerce, tied to a 2025 social media post. A lead prosecutor withdrew from the case in late May 2026, but the Department of Justice has shown no signs of dismissal and continues to advance the matter. An earlier 2025 indictment on congressional testimony charges was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 over a prosecutorial appointment issue, yet the new case remains unresolved with no scheduled resolution or withdrawal before the July deadline. Trader consensus reflects the typical pace of federal criminal proceedings and the absence of recent developments favoring swift termination.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current 95% implied probability that charges against former FBI Director James Comey will not be dropped by July 31 stems from the active federal prosecution in the Eastern District of North Carolina. A grand jury returned a two-count indictment in late April 2026 alleging threats against the president and transmission of threats in interstate commerce, tied to a 2025 social media post. A lead prosecutor withdrew from the case in late May 2026, but the Department of Justice has shown no signs of dismissal and continues to advance the matter. An earlier 2025 indictment on congressional testimony charges was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 over a prosecutorial appointment issue, yet the new case remains unresolved with no scheduled resolution or withdrawal before the July deadline. Trader consensus reflects the typical pace of federal criminal proceedings and the absence of recent developments favoring swift termination.
Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Объем
$2,067Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current 95% implied probability that charges against former FBI Director James Comey will not be dropped by July 31 stems from the active federal prosecution in the Eastern District of North Carolina. A grand jury returned a two-count indictment in late April 2026 alleging threats against the president and transmission of threats in interstate commerce, tied to a 2025 social media post. A lead prosecutor withdrew from the case in late May 2026, but the Department of Justice has shown no signs of dismissal and continues to advance the matter. An earlier 2025 indictment on congressional testimony charges was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 over a prosecutorial appointment issue, yet the new case remains unresolved with no scheduled resolution or withdrawal before the July deadline. Trader consensus reflects the typical pace of federal criminal proceedings and the absence of recent developments favoring swift termination.
Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,067Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The current 95% implied probability that charges against former FBI Director James Comey will not be dropped by July 31 stems from the active federal prosecution in the Eastern District of North Carolina. A grand jury returned a two-count indictment in late April 2026 alleging threats against the president and transmission of threats in interstate commerce, tied to a 2025 social media post. A lead prosecutor withdrew from the case in late May 2026, but the Department of Justice has shown no signs of dismissal and continues to advance the matter. An earlier 2025 indictment on congressional testimony charges was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 over a prosecutorial appointment issue, yet the new case remains unresolved with no scheduled resolution or withdrawal before the July deadline. Trader consensus reflects the typical pace of federal criminal proceedings and the absence of recent developments favoring swift termination.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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