Current forecast models from multiple agencies point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme lows through atmospheric mixing. Recent clearing after earlier showers has stabilized the pattern, with high pressure supporting dry, stable air. Small differences in projected wind speeds or residual moisture could shift the actual low across the 11–14°C range, producing the near-even market-implied odds across thresholds as traders weigh model consensus against typical spring variability driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic influences. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours may refine these details ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 18 сентября?
6°C или ниже 98%
16°C или выше 97%
8°C 39%
13°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
98%
7°C
38%
8°C
39%
9°C
38%
10°C
38%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
39%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C или выше
97%
6°C или ниже 98%
16°C или выше 97%
8°C 39%
13°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$0 Объем
98%
7°C
$0 Объем
38%
8°C
$0 Объем
39%
9°C
$0 Объем
38%
10°C
$0 Объем
38%
11°C
$0 Объем
23%
12°C
$0 Объем
23%
13°C
$0 Объем
39%
14°C
$0 Объем
38%
15°C
$0 Объем
38%
16°C или выше
$0 Объем
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple agencies point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme lows through atmospheric mixing. Recent clearing after earlier showers has stabilized the pattern, with high pressure supporting dry, stable air. Small differences in projected wind speeds or residual moisture could shift the actual low across the 11–14°C range, producing the near-even market-implied odds across thresholds as traders weigh model consensus against typical spring variability driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic influences. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours may refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple agencies point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme lows through atmospheric mixing. Recent clearing after earlier showers has stabilized the pattern, with high pressure supporting dry, stable air. Small differences in projected wind speeds or residual moisture could shift the actual low across the 11–14°C range, producing the near-even market-implied odds across thresholds as traders weigh model consensus against typical spring variability driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic influences. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours may refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple agencies point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme lows through atmospheric mixing. Recent clearing after earlier showers has stabilized the pattern, with high pressure supporting dry, stable air. Small differences in projected wind speeds or residual moisture could shift the actual low across the 11–14°C range, producing the near-even market-implied odds across thresholds as traders weigh model consensus against typical spring variability driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic influences. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours may refine these details ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы