Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models show a typical June overnight low near 26°C under subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate northeasterly flow, and high humidity exceeding 80%, with no cold-air intrusions or typhoon activity. This aligns with climatological baselines and the agency’s above-normal temperature outlook for June–August 2026, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for 26°C as the day’s minimum. Traders’ consensus reflects real-time model consensus and historical June patterns lacking anomalous cooling. A late marine layer, localized heavy rainfall, or revised observational data could theoretically shift the recorded low, though current guidance assigns low likelihood before official verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 14 июня?
26°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
22°C или ниже <1%
$74,979 Объем
$74,979 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
26°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
22°C или ниже <1%
$74,979 Объем
$74,979 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models show a typical June overnight low near 26°C under subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate northeasterly flow, and high humidity exceeding 80%, with no cold-air intrusions or typhoon activity. This aligns with climatological baselines and the agency’s above-normal temperature outlook for June–August 2026, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for 26°C as the day’s minimum. Traders’ consensus reflects real-time model consensus and historical June patterns lacking anomalous cooling. A late marine layer, localized heavy rainfall, or revised observational data could theoretically shift the recorded low, though current guidance assigns low likelihood before official verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы