Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a warm air mass and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiative cooling, keeping the NYC minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F range on June 14. This setup, with southerly flow and possible cloud cover, has pushed the 74-75°F bin to a 35.5% market-implied probability as the leading outcome. Historical mid-June averages near 65-67°F highlight the anomaly, while recent observations of highs near 85-90°F and limited frontal passages reinforce trader consensus around these elevated thresholds. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA monitoring will refine any shifts from wind or humidity changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 14 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 14 июня?
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 11%
70-71°F 11%
НОВОЕ
$10,921 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,921 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
23%
76–77°F
8%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F или выше
<1%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 11%
70-71°F 11%
НОВОЕ
$10,921 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,921 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
$1,792 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$1,531 Объем
1%
66-67°F
$1,878 Объем
1%
68-69°F
$500 Объем
18%
70-71°F
$169 Объем
11%
72-73°F
$224 Объем
21%
74-75°F
$868 Объем
23%
76–77°F
$1,535 Объем
8%
78-79°F
$1,186 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$976 Объем
<1%
82°F или выше
$775 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a warm air mass and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiative cooling, keeping the NYC minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F range on June 14. This setup, with southerly flow and possible cloud cover, has pushed the 74-75°F bin to a 35.5% market-implied probability as the leading outcome. Historical mid-June averages near 65-67°F highlight the anomaly, while recent observations of highs near 85-90°F and limited frontal passages reinforce trader consensus around these elevated thresholds. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA monitoring will refine any shifts from wind or humidity changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Объем
$10,921Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a warm air mass and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiative cooling, keeping the NYC minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F range on June 14. This setup, with southerly flow and possible cloud cover, has pushed the 74-75°F bin to a 35.5% market-implied probability as the leading outcome. Historical mid-June averages near 65-67°F highlight the anomaly, while recent observations of highs near 85-90°F and limited frontal passages reinforce trader consensus around these elevated thresholds. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA monitoring will refine any shifts from wind or humidity changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,921Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a warm air mass and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiative cooling, keeping the NYC minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F range on June 14. This setup, with southerly flow and possible cloud cover, has pushed the 74-75°F bin to a 35.5% market-implied probability as the leading outcome. Historical mid-June averages near 65-67°F highlight the anomaly, while recent observations of highs near 85-90°F and limited frontal passages reinforce trader consensus around these elevated thresholds. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA monitoring will refine any shifts from wind or humidity changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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