Current forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate NYC overnight lows near 67–71°F for June 14, with morning readings around 70°F before daytime heating to the mid-80s or higher. Trader sentiment clusters around 70–73°F because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat retention. Slight differences in expected dew points and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between the top bins, while lower probabilities for sub-68°F reflect seasonal norms and lack of strong cold-air advection. Updated NWS observations and evening model runs will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 14 июня?
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 23%
74-75°F 15%
70-71°F 13%
$12,455 Объем
$12,455 Объем
63°F или ниже
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
15%
76–77°F
19%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F или выше
<1%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 23%
74-75°F 15%
70-71°F 13%
$12,455 Объем
$12,455 Объем
63°F или ниже
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
15%
76–77°F
19%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate NYC overnight lows near 67–71°F for June 14, with morning readings around 70°F before daytime heating to the mid-80s or higher. Trader sentiment clusters around 70–73°F because model guidance shows modest uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat retention. Slight differences in expected dew points and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between the top bins, while lower probabilities for sub-68°F reflect seasonal norms and lack of strong cold-air advection. Updated NWS observations and evening model runs will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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