The closely matched market odds favoring 24°C or 23°C reflect Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a 24°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16 amid persistent cloud cover, 60% rain probability, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling overnight. Humid conditions and scattered showers keep overnight lows near the seasonal 22–24°C baseline by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while recent ensemble runs show minimal divergence in frontal or steering patterns. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily, as sub-22°C outcomes would require unexpected clearing and sub-20°C values remain historically rare in mid-August without major pattern shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 16 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 16 августа?
23°C 75%
24°C 36%
22°C 10%
21°C 1.1%
НОВОЕ
$10,377 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,377 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
50%
24°C
36%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
23°C 75%
24°C 36%
22°C 10%
21°C 1.1%
НОВОЕ
$10,377 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,377 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$985 Объем
<1%
20°C
$749 Объем
<1%
21°C
$426 Объем
1%
22°C
$629 Объем
8%
23°C
$1,146 Объем
50%
24°C
$1,996 Объем
36%
25°C
$2,568 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,062 Объем
<1%
27°C
$500 Объем
<1%
28°C
$361 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$311 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds favoring 24°C or 23°C reflect Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a 24°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16 amid persistent cloud cover, 60% rain probability, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling overnight. Humid conditions and scattered showers keep overnight lows near the seasonal 22–24°C baseline by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while recent ensemble runs show minimal divergence in frontal or steering patterns. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily, as sub-22°C outcomes would require unexpected clearing and sub-20°C values remain historically rare in mid-August without major pattern shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$10,377Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds favoring 24°C or 23°C reflect Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a 24°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16 amid persistent cloud cover, 60% rain probability, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling overnight. Humid conditions and scattered showers keep overnight lows near the seasonal 22–24°C baseline by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while recent ensemble runs show minimal divergence in frontal or steering patterns. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily, as sub-22°C outcomes would require unexpected clearing and sub-20°C values remain historically rare in mid-August without major pattern shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,377Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds favoring 24°C or 23°C reflect Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a 24°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 16 amid persistent cloud cover, 60% rain probability, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling overnight. Humid conditions and scattered showers keep overnight lows near the seasonal 22–24°C baseline by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while recent ensemble runs show minimal divergence in frontal or steering patterns. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily, as sub-22°C outcomes would require unexpected clearing and sub-20°C values remain historically rare in mid-August without major pattern shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы