Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination with an 83% primary victory on August 4, while U.S. Rep. John James won the Republican primary, setting up a November 3 general election matchup for the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer. Recent polling averages place Benson ahead of James by roughly 5–10 points, reflecting Michigan’s recent Democratic performance in statewide contests and Benson’s established profile as the state’s chief elections official. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome an 85.5% implied probability, consistent with these surveys and the absence of a competitive independent candidate. The race remains subject to shifts from voter turnout patterns and any late campaign developments before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Мичигана
Победитель выборов губернатора Мичигана
Демократ 86%
Республиканец 15%
Независимый 1.4%
$198,019 Объем
$198,019 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
86%
Республиканец
15%
Независимый
1%
Демократ 86%
Республиканец 15%
Независимый 1.4%
$198,019 Объем
$198,019 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$47,149 Объем
86%
Республиканец
$150,254 Объем
15%
Независимый
$616 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination with an 83% primary victory on August 4, while U.S. Rep. John James won the Republican primary, setting up a November 3 general election matchup for the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer. Recent polling averages place Benson ahead of James by roughly 5–10 points, reflecting Michigan’s recent Democratic performance in statewide contests and Benson’s established profile as the state’s chief elections official. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome an 85.5% implied probability, consistent with these surveys and the absence of a competitive independent candidate. The race remains subject to shifts from voter turnout patterns and any late campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Объем
$198,019Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination with an 83% primary victory on August 4, while U.S. Rep. John James won the Republican primary, setting up a November 3 general election matchup for the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer. Recent polling averages place Benson ahead of James by roughly 5–10 points, reflecting Michigan’s recent Democratic performance in statewide contests and Benson’s established profile as the state’s chief elections official. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome an 85.5% implied probability, consistent with these surveys and the absence of a competitive independent candidate. The race remains subject to shifts from voter turnout patterns and any late campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$198,019Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination with an 83% primary victory on August 4, while U.S. Rep. John James won the Republican primary, setting up a November 3 general election matchup for the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer. Recent polling averages place Benson ahead of James by roughly 5–10 points, reflecting Michigan’s recent Democratic performance in statewide contests and Benson’s established profile as the state’s chief elections official. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic outcome an 85.5% implied probability, consistent with these surveys and the absence of a competitive independent candidate. The race remains subject to shifts from voter turnout patterns and any late campaign developments before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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