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icon for Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место

Марсело Кривелла 83%

Мишелли Ксавьер 82%

Лусиано Маттос 81%

Бенедита да Силва 37%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Марсело Кривелла 83%

Мишелли Ксавьер 82%

Лусиано Маттос 81%

Бенедита да Силва 37%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Марсело Кривелла

Марсело Кривелла

$67 Объем

83%

icon for Мишелли Ксавьер

Мишелли Ксавьер

$67 Объем

82%

icon for Лусиано Маттос

Лусиано Маттос

$67 Объем

81%

icon for Бенедита да Силва

Бенедита да Силва

$67 Объем

37%

icon for Карлос Жорди

Карлос Жорди

$89 Объем

12%

icon for Карлос Портиньо

Карлос Портиньо

$87 Объем

12%

icon for Андре Монтейру

Андре Монтейру

$67 Объем

8%

icon for Луис Эуженио

Луис Эуженио

$123 Объем

8%

icon for Маркос Диас

Маркос Диас

$77 Объем

8%

icon for Паула Фалкан

Паула Фалкан

$93 Объем

7%

icon for Винисиус Беневидес

Винисиус Беневидес

$106 Объем

7%

icon for О Клементе

О Клементе

$75 Объем

7%

icon for Вагиньо

Вагиньо

$67 Объем

7%

icon for Педро Пауло

Педро Пауло

$67 Объем

6%

icon for Моника Бенисиу

Моника Бенисиу

$72 Объем

5%

icon for Хелио Секко

Хелио Секко

$93 Объем

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than 15 declared candidates for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats on October 4 keeps the contest for first place tightly bunched, with no single contender establishing a clear lead in available July polling. Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) appear strongest for the seats overall, yet traders assign comparable probabilities to Carlos Jordy (PL), Michelly Xavier (UP), Monica Benicio (PSOL), and several others because name recognition, party machinery, and regional voting patterns remain dispersed across right, center-right, and left options. The absence of fresh statewide surveys since late July and the withdrawal or ineligibility of higher-profile figures such as Cláudio Castro have left the ordering unsettled. Late-campaign events including candidate debates, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout among key municipalities could widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$1,280
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than 15 declared candidates for Rio de Janeiro’s two Senate seats on October 4 keeps the contest for first place tightly bunched, with no single contender establishing a clear lead in available July polling. Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) appear strongest for the seats overall, yet traders assign comparable probabilities to Carlos Jordy (PL), Michelly Xavier (UP), Monica Benicio (PSOL), and several others because name recognition, party machinery, and regional voting patterns remain dispersed across right, center-right, and left options. The absence of fresh statewide surveys since late July and the withdrawal or ineligibility of higher-profile figures such as Cláudio Castro have left the ordering unsettled. Late-campaign events including candidate debates, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout among key municipalities could widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$1,280
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Андре Монтейру второй по количеству голосов результат на выборах в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро в 2026 году?

Получит ли Андре Монтейру второй по количеству голосов результат на выборах в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро в 2026 году?

26%
Да
icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

25%
icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

57%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Марсело Кривелла» с 42%, за ним следует «Мишелли Ксавьер» с 41%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 42¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 42%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место» — «Марсело Кривелла» с 42%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 42%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Мишелли Ксавьер» с 41%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.