Pernambuco's 2026 Senate race features two seats and a crowded field of roughly a dozen registered candidates following recent party conventions, which has kept trader probabilities fragmented across multiple contenders. Recent surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas show Marília Arraes (PDT) ahead in first-round voting intentions, yet with Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) clustered within striking distance for the top spots amid high undecided shares and shifting alliances. Withdrawals, including Miguel Coelho's exit, and the absence of consolidated polling leads have reinforced the competitive balance reflected in current market pricing, where no single name commands a decisive edge. Key upcoming factors include further debate performances, regional turnout patterns in the Northeast, and any late endorsements or coalition adjustments before October balloting that could consolidate support and separate the leaders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTúlio Gadêlha 44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 44%
Samuel Timoteo 44%
Marília Arraes 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Túlio Gadêlha
44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
44%
Samuel Timoteo
44%
Marília Arraes
43%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
42%
Mailson da Silva Neto
41%
Mariano Macedo
41%
Gorett Bitu
41%
Mendonça Filho
41%
Carlos Sant'Anna
41%
Eduardo da Fonte
40%
Humberto Costa
40%
Túlio Gadêlha 44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 44%
Samuel Timoteo 44%
Marília Arraes 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Túlio Gadêlha
$0 Объем
44%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$0 Объем
44%
Samuel Timoteo
$0 Объем
44%
Marília Arraes
$0 Объем
43%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 Объем
42%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 Объем
41%
Mariano Macedo
$0 Объем
41%
Gorett Bitu
$0 Объем
41%
Mendonça Filho
$0 Объем
41%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$0 Объем
41%
Eduardo da Fonte
$0 Объем
40%
Humberto Costa
$0 Объем
40%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Pernambuco's 2026 Senate race features two seats and a crowded field of roughly a dozen registered candidates following recent party conventions, which has kept trader probabilities fragmented across multiple contenders. Recent surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas show Marília Arraes (PDT) ahead in first-round voting intentions, yet with Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) clustered within striking distance for the top spots amid high undecided shares and shifting alliances. Withdrawals, including Miguel Coelho's exit, and the absence of consolidated polling leads have reinforced the competitive balance reflected in current market pricing, where no single name commands a decisive edge. Key upcoming factors include further debate performances, regional turnout patterns in the Northeast, and any late endorsements or coalition adjustments before October balloting that could consolidate support and separate the leaders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Pernambuco's 2026 Senate race features two seats and a crowded field of roughly a dozen registered candidates following recent party conventions, which has kept trader probabilities fragmented across multiple contenders. Recent surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas show Marília Arraes (PDT) ahead in first-round voting intentions, yet with Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) clustered within striking distance for the top spots amid high undecided shares and shifting alliances. Withdrawals, including Miguel Coelho's exit, and the absence of consolidated polling leads have reinforced the competitive balance reflected in current market pricing, where no single name commands a decisive edge. Key upcoming factors include further debate performances, regional turnout patterns in the Northeast, and any late endorsements or coalition adjustments before October balloting that could consolidate support and separate the leaders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pernambuco's 2026 Senate race features two seats and a crowded field of roughly a dozen registered candidates following recent party conventions, which has kept trader probabilities fragmented across multiple contenders. Recent surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas show Marília Arraes (PDT) ahead in first-round voting intentions, yet with Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) clustered within striking distance for the top spots amid high undecided shares and shifting alliances. Withdrawals, including Miguel Coelho's exit, and the absence of consolidated polling leads have reinforced the competitive balance reflected in current market pricing, where no single name commands a decisive edge. Key upcoming factors include further debate performances, regional turnout patterns in the Northeast, and any late endorsements or coalition adjustments before October balloting that could consolidate support and separate the leaders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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