International diplomatic initiatives, including the Quad framework led by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, continue to push for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire in Sudan’s ongoing civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces. As of early May 2026, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly urged immediate cessation of hostilities to enable aid access amid escalating drone strikes that have caused most recent civilian casualties. Both factions have rejected prior proposals unless core demands—such as territorial withdrawals or disarmament—are met first, sustaining a military stalemate into the conflict’s fourth year. Regional mediation efforts and upcoming donor conferences could influence momentum, though persistent foreign arms flows and humanitarian blockages remain key barriers to near-term resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрекращение огня во время гражданской войны в Судане...?
Прекращение огня во время гражданской войны в Судане...?
$92,664 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 июня 2026 года
13%
31 декабря 2026 года
17%
$92,664 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
$33,225 Объем
13%
31 декабря 2026 года
$291 Объем
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.International diplomatic initiatives, including the Quad framework led by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, continue to push for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire in Sudan’s ongoing civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces. As of early May 2026, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly urged immediate cessation of hostilities to enable aid access amid escalating drone strikes that have caused most recent civilian casualties. Both factions have rejected prior proposals unless core demands—such as territorial withdrawals or disarmament—are met first, sustaining a military stalemate into the conflict’s fourth year. Regional mediation efforts and upcoming donor conferences could influence momentum, though persistent foreign arms flows and humanitarian blockages remain key barriers to near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Объем
$92,664Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.International diplomatic initiatives, including the Quad framework led by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, continue to push for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire in Sudan’s ongoing civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces. As of early May 2026, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly urged immediate cessation of hostilities to enable aid access amid escalating drone strikes that have caused most recent civilian casualties. Both factions have rejected prior proposals unless core demands—such as territorial withdrawals or disarmament—are met first, sustaining a military stalemate into the conflict’s fourth year. Regional mediation efforts and upcoming donor conferences could influence momentum, though persistent foreign arms flows and humanitarian blockages remain key barriers to near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Объем
$92,664Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...International diplomatic initiatives, including the Quad framework led by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, continue to push for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire in Sudan’s ongoing civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces. As of early May 2026, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly urged immediate cessation of hostilities to enable aid access amid escalating drone strikes that have caused most recent civilian casualties. Both factions have rejected prior proposals unless core demands—such as territorial withdrawals or disarmament—are met first, sustaining a military stalemate into the conflict’s fourth year. Regional mediation efforts and upcoming donor conferences could influence momentum, though persistent foreign arms flows and humanitarian blockages remain key barriers to near-term resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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