Recent border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia stem from longstanding territorial disputes, including areas around the Preah Vihear temple and the 800-kilometer frontier. Fighting escalated sharply in 2025 with artillery exchanges, drone strikes, and Thai F-16 airstrikes targeting Cambodian positions in December, prompting a joint ceasefire agreement on December 27. Isolated mortar incidents occurred in January 2026, which Cambodian forces described as operational errors, while both sides evacuated civilians and maintained troop positions. The truce has held tenuously into 2026 amid mutual accusations, displaced populations exceeding 500,000, and ongoing military vigilance, with ASEAN diplomatic efforts and bilateral talks serving as the main channels for de-escalation. Any renewed cross-border fire or failure to resolve demarcation claims could quickly shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТаиланд наносит удар по Камбодже...?
Таиланд наносит удар по Камбодже...?
$69,402 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня 2026 года
5%
$69,402 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
$24,989 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Recent border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia stem from longstanding territorial disputes, including areas around the Preah Vihear temple and the 800-kilometer frontier. Fighting escalated sharply in 2025 with artillery exchanges, drone strikes, and Thai F-16 airstrikes targeting Cambodian positions in December, prompting a joint ceasefire agreement on December 27. Isolated mortar incidents occurred in January 2026, which Cambodian forces described as operational errors, while both sides evacuated civilians and maintained troop positions. The truce has held tenuously into 2026 amid mutual accusations, displaced populations exceeding 500,000, and ongoing military vigilance, with ASEAN diplomatic efforts and bilateral talks serving as the main channels for de-escalation. Any renewed cross-border fire or failure to resolve demarcation claims could quickly shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Открытие рынка: Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
Объем
$69,402Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Recent border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia stem from longstanding territorial disputes, including areas around the Preah Vihear temple and the 800-kilometer frontier. Fighting escalated sharply in 2025 with artillery exchanges, drone strikes, and Thai F-16 airstrikes targeting Cambodian positions in December, prompting a joint ceasefire agreement on December 27. Isolated mortar incidents occurred in January 2026, which Cambodian forces described as operational errors, while both sides evacuated civilians and maintained troop positions. The truce has held tenuously into 2026 amid mutual accusations, displaced populations exceeding 500,000, and ongoing military vigilance, with ASEAN diplomatic efforts and bilateral talks serving as the main channels for de-escalation. Any renewed cross-border fire or failure to resolve demarcation claims could quickly shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Объем
$69,402Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent border tensions between Thailand and Cambodia stem from longstanding territorial disputes, including areas around the Preah Vihear temple and the 800-kilometer frontier. Fighting escalated sharply in 2025 with artillery exchanges, drone strikes, and Thai F-16 airstrikes targeting Cambodian positions in December, prompting a joint ceasefire agreement on December 27. Isolated mortar incidents occurred in January 2026, which Cambodian forces described as operational errors, while both sides evacuated civilians and maintained troop positions. The truce has held tenuously into 2026 amid mutual accusations, displaced populations exceeding 500,000, and ongoing military vigilance, with ASEAN diplomatic efforts and bilateral talks serving as the main channels for de-escalation. Any renewed cross-border fire or failure to resolve demarcation claims could quickly shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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