Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US seizure of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting the absence of military or forceful actions despite President Trump's early 2025 threats over tolls and Chinese influence. The 1977 Panama Canal Treaty enshrines permanent neutrality and Panamanian sovereignty, upheld by US diplomatic recognitions, including a April 2026 joint statement with allies backing Panama amid China's retaliatory detentions of flagged vessels following a Supreme Court ruling voiding a Hong Kong firm's port contracts. Recent US-Panama talks emphasize infrastructure investments over control, with no negotiations advancing repurchase bills like H.R.283, underscoring geopolitical focus on countering China without treaty violation. Late escalations remain possible but unlikely given de-escalated tensions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$74,803 Объем
$74,803 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$74,803 Объем
$74,803 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US seizure of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting the absence of military or forceful actions despite President Trump's early 2025 threats over tolls and Chinese influence. The 1977 Panama Canal Treaty enshrines permanent neutrality and Panamanian sovereignty, upheld by US diplomatic recognitions, including a April 2026 joint statement with allies backing Panama amid China's retaliatory detentions of flagged vessels following a Supreme Court ruling voiding a Hong Kong firm's port contracts. Recent US-Panama talks emphasize infrastructure investments over control, with no negotiations advancing repurchase bills like H.R.283, underscoring geopolitical focus on countering China without treaty violation. Late escalations remain possible but unlikely given de-escalated tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
Объем
$74,803Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US seizure of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting the absence of military or forceful actions despite President Trump's early 2025 threats over tolls and Chinese influence. The 1977 Panama Canal Treaty enshrines permanent neutrality and Panamanian sovereignty, upheld by US diplomatic recognitions, including a April 2026 joint statement with allies backing Panama amid China's retaliatory detentions of flagged vessels following a Supreme Court ruling voiding a Hong Kong firm's port contracts. Recent US-Panama talks emphasize infrastructure investments over control, with no negotiations advancing repurchase bills like H.R.283, underscoring geopolitical focus on countering China without treaty violation. Late escalations remain possible but unlikely given de-escalated tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Объем
$74,803Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US seizure of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting the absence of military or forceful actions despite President Trump's early 2025 threats over tolls and Chinese influence. The 1977 Panama Canal Treaty enshrines permanent neutrality and Panamanian sovereignty, upheld by US diplomatic recognitions, including a April 2026 joint statement with allies backing Panama amid China's retaliatory detentions of flagged vessels following a Supreme Court ruling voiding a Hong Kong firm's port contracts. Recent US-Panama talks emphasize infrastructure investments over control, with no negotiations advancing repurchase bills like H.R.283, underscoring geopolitical focus on countering China without treaty violation. Late escalations remain possible but unlikely given de-escalated tensions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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