The Vancouver mayoral contest on October 17 remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over voter priorities on affordability, housing, and public safety amid an incumbent challenge. Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver faces erosion in support after three years in office, while former chief of staff Kareem Allam has consolidated backing through the Vancouver Liberals by emphasizing continuity with adjustments. Progressive candidates including Pete Fry of the Green Party and others risk fragmenting the anti-incumbent vote, though recent coordination efforts among parties aim to limit splitting. February 2026 polling highlighted widespread openness to new leadership and policy shifts, sustaining the balanced probabilities between the top two contenders. Scheduled nomination deadlines and campaign events through summer could further clarify voter blocs and alter the current implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКарим Аллам 42%
Кен Сим 34%
Пит Фрай 15.2%
Уильям Азарофф 5.2%
$67,306 Объем
$67,306 Объем
Карим Аллам
42%
Кен Сим
34%
Пит Фрай
15%
Уильям Азарофф
5%
Колин Хардуик
3%
Джон Купар
2%
Ребекка Блай
1%
Шон Орр
1%
Тим Луис
<1%
Аманда Бэрроуз
<1%
Кирк ЛаПойнт
<1%
Фред Хардинг
<1%
Карим Аллам 42%
Кен Сим 34%
Пит Фрай 15.2%
Уильям Азарофф 5.2%
$67,306 Объем
$67,306 Объем
Карим Аллам
42%
Кен Сим
34%
Пит Фрай
15%
Уильям Азарофф
5%
Колин Хардуик
3%
Джон Купар
2%
Ребекка Блай
1%
Шон Орр
1%
Тим Луис
<1%
Аманда Бэрроуз
<1%
Кирк ЛаПойнт
<1%
Фред Хардинг
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Vancouver mayoral contest on October 17 remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over voter priorities on affordability, housing, and public safety amid an incumbent challenge. Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver faces erosion in support after three years in office, while former chief of staff Kareem Allam has consolidated backing through the Vancouver Liberals by emphasizing continuity with adjustments. Progressive candidates including Pete Fry of the Green Party and others risk fragmenting the anti-incumbent vote, though recent coordination efforts among parties aim to limit splitting. February 2026 polling highlighted widespread openness to new leadership and policy shifts, sustaining the balanced probabilities between the top two contenders. Scheduled nomination deadlines and campaign events through summer could further clarify voter blocs and alter the current implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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