United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Vologda Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its entrenched position as the incumbent majority party, control of most single-member districts under the mixed electoral system, and organizational advantages ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Recent primaries and candidate finalization have reinforced party discipline without notable internal disruptions. Opposition parties including the CPRF show limited momentum in available polling and historical results, while national trends favor the ruling party. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high opposition turnout in proportional representation seats, unexpected single-member district upsets, or late administrative or legal developments affecting registration or campaigning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUnited Russia 95.8%
CPRF 3.9%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
$12,830 Объем
$12,830 Объем

United Russia
96%

CPRF
4%

Communists of Russia
1%

New People
1%

LDPR
<1%

Party of Pensioners
<1%

A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 95.8%
CPRF 3.9%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
$12,830 Объем
$12,830 Объем

United Russia
96%

CPRF
4%

Communists of Russia
1%

New People
1%

LDPR
<1%

Party of Pensioners
<1%

A Just Russia
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Vologda Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its entrenched position as the incumbent majority party, control of most single-member districts under the mixed electoral system, and organizational advantages ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Recent primaries and candidate finalization have reinforced party discipline without notable internal disruptions. Opposition parties including the CPRF show limited momentum in available polling and historical results, while national trends favor the ruling party. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high opposition turnout in proportional representation seats, unexpected single-member district upsets, or late administrative or legal developments affecting registration or campaigning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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