This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The absence of any announced bilateral summit plans or preparatory diplomatic steps between the White House and Kremlin explains the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no in-person Trump-Putin meeting before June 30. Recent phone contacts have focused on Ukraine ceasefire terms and Iran de-escalation without yielding concrete venue agreements or travel schedules, while Putin’s immediate itinerary centers on a state visit to China and ongoing bilateral frictions over territorial demands persist. This aligns with the pattern of prior proposed talks, such as the postponed Budapest summit, being delayed amid unresolved policy gaps. A rapid shift could occur only through an unforeseen breakthrough in envoy-level negotiations or an acute geopolitical trigger forcing an emergency session within the narrow window.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The absence of any announced bilateral summit plans or preparatory diplomatic steps between the White House and Kremlin explains the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no in-person Trump-Putin meeting before June 30. Recent phone contacts have focused on Ukraine ceasefire terms and Iran de-escalation without yielding concrete venue agreements or travel schedules, while Putin’s immediate itinerary centers on a state visit to China and ongoing bilateral frictions over territorial demands persist. This aligns with the pattern of prior proposed talks, such as the postponed Budapest summit, being delayed amid unresolved policy gaps. A rapid shift could occur only through an unforeseen breakthrough in envoy-level negotiations or an acute geopolitical trigger forcing an emergency session within the narrow window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
May 10 2026
US jobs report shows strong hiring despite Iran war
No meeting by June 30 surges to 89%19%
Robust US employment data improved domestic economic confidence in Trump’s leadership, indirectly supporting the “No meeting” outlook as market participants focused on domestic issues.
May 10 2026
Trump’s Greenland envoy sparks speculation about Middle‑East diplomatic moves
A brief surge in price fluctuation was linked to speculation that a secret meeting could be arranged in a Gulf country after Trump’s envoy to Greenland hinted at renewed Middle‑East outreach, but no concrete evidence emerged.
Apr 25 2026
Trump‑Putin phone call after Davos Board of Peace event
Russia dips to 28%4%
Following the Board of Peace signing, Trump and Putin spoke on the phone, reviving speculation of a meeting but without concrete plans, causing a modest rise in the Russia outcome.
Apr 21 2026
Trump rolls out his Board of Peace at Davos, invites Putin without confirming attendance
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 89%9%
Trump’s declaration at the World Economic Forum in Davos that he was rolling out a “Board of Peace” and that Putin had been invited but not yet responded reinforced expectations that a direct meeting was unlikely before June 30.
Apr 15 2026
Trump announces three‑day ceasefire in Ukraine
No meeting by June 30 surges to 70%25%
A US‑brokered ceasefire reduced immediate war pressure, but the lack of a concrete peace deal lowered expectations of a Trump‑Putin meeting, pushing the market toward “No meeting.”
Apr 3 2026
Trump‑Xi summit held in Beijing
China plunges to 5%15%
The actual Trump‑Xi meeting confirmed Beijing as the venue for the highest‑level US‑China dialogue, virtually eliminating the China outcome and boosting the “No meeting” probability.
Mar 8 2026
Putin arrives in New Delhi on a state visit aimed at bolstering Russia‑India ties
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 80%7%
A report that Putin was visiting India for a state visit was interpreted as a sign that his diplomatic itinerary was full, reducing the likelihood of a Trump‑Putin meeting and pushing the “no meeting” price higher.
Mar 8 2026
Trump‑Putin meeting rumored at Gulf summit in Doha
Gulf country drops to 30%8%
Leaks suggested a possible Trump‑Putin encounter at a Gulf Cooperation Council summit, briefly raising the Gulf‑country outcome.
Feb 20 2026
China reports 14.1% jump in April exports ahead of Trump‑Xi summit
China drops to 20%10%
Strong Chinese export data boosted confidence in a Beijing meeting, further collapsing the China outcome probability.
Feb 5 2026
US‑Russia New START treaty limits reaffirmed by Russia
Russia drops to 32%6%
Russia’s pledge to honor New START if the US does so reduced immediate nuclear tensions, slightly improving the prospect of a meeting in Russia.
Jan 20 2026
Trump says Putin and he had a two‑hour call and are getting closer to a deal
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 62%5%
Trump announced on Air Force One that he had spoken with Putin for over two hours and that both leaders were “getting a lot closer,” reviving speculation of an imminent meeting and causing a temporary dip in the no‑meeting price.
Jan 10 2026
Trump hosts Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos
Russia drops to 38%7%
The high‑profile event brought many world leaders together, including an invitation to Putin, reviving speculation of a Trump‑Putin meeting in a neutral venue and lifting the Russia outcome slightly.
Dec 28 2025
Putin warns Russia will extend gains if peace talks fail
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 45%10%
Putin’s hard‑line statement after stalled U.S.‑led peace talks suggested a deteriorating diplomatic climate, pushing the market back toward a “No meeting” outlook.
Dec 15 2025
Trump‑Xi summit scheduled in Beijing
China plunges to 30%19%
News that Trump would meet Xi in Beijing heightened expectations of a China venue for a Trump‑Putin encounter, sharply reducing the China outcome probability.
Dec 15 2025
U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner hold marathon talks with Putin in Moscow
No meeting by June 30 surges to 56%24%
U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner met with Putin in Moscow for marathon talks, confirming that no direct Trump‑Putin meeting was scheduled and pushing the market back toward a “no meeting” outlook.
Dec 1 2025
Trump announces framework for Greenland deal, drops NATO tariff threat
Other EU country drops to 40%6%
The announcement shifted attention to the Arctic and reduced pressure on European allies, lowering the perceived need for a Trump‑Putin meeting in Europe and nudging the market toward a Gulf or Russia outcome.
Nov 5 2025
Putin arrives in India for state visit
Gulf country drops to 38%8%
Putin’s India trip was seen as a signal that he was focusing on non‑Western partners, increasing speculation that a Trump‑Putin meeting could be arranged in a Gulf country during the visit.
Oct 12 2025
Trump‑Putin phone call discussed cease‑fire in Kyiv
Russia drops to 45%11%
President Trump said he secured a one‑week pause on Russian strikes on Kyiv after a phone call with Putin, raising hopes of direct talks and moving the market away from a Gulf‑state meeting toward a possible Russia meeting.
Oct 8 2025
Trump says he asked Putin not to target Kyiv for one week during brutal cold spell
No meeting by June 30 rises to 31%2%
Trump publicly claimed that Putin had agreed not to target Kyiv for a week during a severe cold spell, signalling a direct communication line between the two leaders and fuelling market expectations of a forthcoming meeting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The absence of any announced bilateral summit plans or preparatory diplomatic steps between the White House and Kremlin explains the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no in-person Trump-Putin meeting before June 30. Recent phone contacts have focused on Ukraine ceasefire terms and Iran de-escalation without yielding concrete venue agreements or travel schedules, while Putin’s immediate itinerary centers on a state visit to China and ongoing bilateral frictions over territorial demands persist. This aligns with the pattern of prior proposed talks, such as the postponed Budapest summit, being delayed amid unresolved policy gaps. A rapid shift could occur only through an unforeseen breakthrough in envoy-level negotiations or an acute geopolitical trigger forcing an emergency session within the narrow window.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The absence of any announced bilateral summit plans or preparatory diplomatic steps between the White House and Kremlin explains the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no in-person Trump-Putin meeting before June 30. Recent phone contacts have focused on Ukraine ceasefire terms and Iran de-escalation without yielding concrete venue agreements or travel schedules, while Putin’s immediate itinerary centers on a state visit to China and ongoing bilateral frictions over territorial demands persist. This aligns with the pattern of prior proposed talks, such as the postponed Budapest summit, being delayed amid unresolved policy gaps. A rapid shift could occur only through an unforeseen breakthrough in envoy-level negotiations or an acute geopolitical trigger forcing an emergency session within the narrow window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
May 10 2026
US jobs report shows strong hiring despite Iran war
No meeting by June 30 surges to 89%19%
Robust US employment data improved domestic economic confidence in Trump’s leadership, indirectly supporting the “No meeting” outlook as market participants focused on domestic issues.
May 10 2026
Trump’s Greenland envoy sparks speculation about Middle‑East diplomatic moves
A brief surge in price fluctuation was linked to speculation that a secret meeting could be arranged in a Gulf country after Trump’s envoy to Greenland hinted at renewed Middle‑East outreach, but no concrete evidence emerged.
Apr 25 2026
Trump‑Putin phone call after Davos Board of Peace event
Russia dips to 28%4%
Following the Board of Peace signing, Trump and Putin spoke on the phone, reviving speculation of a meeting but without concrete plans, causing a modest rise in the Russia outcome.
Apr 21 2026
Trump rolls out his Board of Peace at Davos, invites Putin without confirming attendance
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 89%9%
Trump’s declaration at the World Economic Forum in Davos that he was rolling out a “Board of Peace” and that Putin had been invited but not yet responded reinforced expectations that a direct meeting was unlikely before June 30.
Apr 15 2026
Trump announces three‑day ceasefire in Ukraine
No meeting by June 30 surges to 70%25%
A US‑brokered ceasefire reduced immediate war pressure, but the lack of a concrete peace deal lowered expectations of a Trump‑Putin meeting, pushing the market toward “No meeting.”
Apr 3 2026
Trump‑Xi summit held in Beijing
China plunges to 5%15%
The actual Trump‑Xi meeting confirmed Beijing as the venue for the highest‑level US‑China dialogue, virtually eliminating the China outcome and boosting the “No meeting” probability.
Mar 8 2026
Putin arrives in New Delhi on a state visit aimed at bolstering Russia‑India ties
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 80%7%
A report that Putin was visiting India for a state visit was interpreted as a sign that his diplomatic itinerary was full, reducing the likelihood of a Trump‑Putin meeting and pushing the “no meeting” price higher.
Mar 8 2026
Trump‑Putin meeting rumored at Gulf summit in Doha
Gulf country drops to 30%8%
Leaks suggested a possible Trump‑Putin encounter at a Gulf Cooperation Council summit, briefly raising the Gulf‑country outcome.
Feb 20 2026
China reports 14.1% jump in April exports ahead of Trump‑Xi summit
China drops to 20%10%
Strong Chinese export data boosted confidence in a Beijing meeting, further collapsing the China outcome probability.
Feb 5 2026
US‑Russia New START treaty limits reaffirmed by Russia
Russia drops to 32%6%
Russia’s pledge to honor New START if the US does so reduced immediate nuclear tensions, slightly improving the prospect of a meeting in Russia.
Jan 20 2026
Trump says Putin and he had a two‑hour call and are getting closer to a deal
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 62%5%
Trump announced on Air Force One that he had spoken with Putin for over two hours and that both leaders were “getting a lot closer,” reviving speculation of an imminent meeting and causing a temporary dip in the no‑meeting price.
Jan 10 2026
Trump hosts Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos
Russia drops to 38%7%
The high‑profile event brought many world leaders together, including an invitation to Putin, reviving speculation of a Trump‑Putin meeting in a neutral venue and lifting the Russia outcome slightly.
Dec 28 2025
Putin warns Russia will extend gains if peace talks fail
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 45%10%
Putin’s hard‑line statement after stalled U.S.‑led peace talks suggested a deteriorating diplomatic climate, pushing the market back toward a “No meeting” outlook.
Dec 15 2025
Trump‑Xi summit scheduled in Beijing
China plunges to 30%19%
News that Trump would meet Xi in Beijing heightened expectations of a China venue for a Trump‑Putin encounter, sharply reducing the China outcome probability.
Dec 15 2025
U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner hold marathon talks with Putin in Moscow
No meeting by June 30 surges to 56%24%
U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner met with Putin in Moscow for marathon talks, confirming that no direct Trump‑Putin meeting was scheduled and pushing the market back toward a “no meeting” outlook.
Dec 1 2025
Trump announces framework for Greenland deal, drops NATO tariff threat
Other EU country drops to 40%6%
The announcement shifted attention to the Arctic and reduced pressure on European allies, lowering the perceived need for a Trump‑Putin meeting in Europe and nudging the market toward a Gulf or Russia outcome.
Nov 5 2025
Putin arrives in India for state visit
Gulf country drops to 38%8%
Putin’s India trip was seen as a signal that he was focusing on non‑Western partners, increasing speculation that a Trump‑Putin meeting could be arranged in a Gulf country during the visit.
Oct 12 2025
Trump‑Putin phone call discussed cease‑fire in Kyiv
Russia drops to 45%11%
President Trump said he secured a one‑week pause on Russian strikes on Kyiv after a phone call with Putin, raising hopes of direct talks and moving the market away from a Gulf‑state meeting toward a possible Russia meeting.
Oct 8 2025
Trump says he asked Putin not to target Kyiv for one week during brutal cold spell
No meeting by June 30 rises to 31%2%
Trump publicly claimed that Putin had agreed not to target Kyiv for a week during a severe cold spell, signalling a direct communication line between the two leaders and fuelling market expectations of a forthcoming meeting.
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Часто задаваемые вопросы
«Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 15 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Нет встречи до 30 июня» с 92%, за ним следует «Россия» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 92¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 92%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.
На сегодняшний день «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $7.6 million с момента запуска рынка Sep 30, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.
Чтобы торговать на «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?», просмотри 15 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.
Текущий фаворит для «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?» — «Нет встречи до 30 июня» с 92%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 92%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Россия» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.
Правила разрешения «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.
Да. Тебе не нужно торговать, чтобы оставаться в курсе. Эта страница служит трекером в реальном времени для «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?». Вероятности исходов обновляются в реальном времени по мере поступления новых сделок. Ты можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки и читать раздел комментариев, чтобы узнать мнение других трейдеров. Ты также можешь использовать фильтры временного диапазона на графике, чтобы увидеть, как менялись коэффициенты со временем.
Коэффициенты Polymarket устанавливаются реальными трейдерами, вкладывающими реальные деньги в свои убеждения, что обычно приводит к точным прогнозам. С объёмом торгов $7.6 million по “Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?” эти цены агрегируют коллективные знания и убеждённость тысяч участников — часто превосходя опросы, экспертные прогнозы и традиционные исследования. Рынки прогнозов, такие как Polymarket, имеют сильный послужной список точности, особенно когда события приближаются к дате разрешения. Например, месячный показатель точности Polymarket составляет 94%. Для получения последних статистических данных о точности прогнозов Polymarket посети страницу точности на Polymarket.
Чтобы совершить первую сделку на «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?», зарегистрируй бесплатный аккаунт на Polymarket и пополни его с помощью криптовалюты, кредитной или дебетовой карты или банковского перевода. После пополнения аккаунта вернись на эту страницу, выбери исход, на который хочешь торговать, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты новичок на рынках прогнозов, нажми на ссылку «Как это работает» вверху любой страницы Polymarket для пошагового руководства.
На Polymarket цена каждого исхода представляет подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Цена 92¢ для «Нет встречи до 30 июня» на рынке «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?» означает, что трейдеры коллективно оценивают вероятность того, что «Нет встречи до 30 июня» будет правильным результатом, примерно в 92%. Если ты купишь акции «Да» по 92¢ и исход окажется правильным, ты получишь $1,00 за акцию — прибыль 8¢ за акцию. Если нет — эти акции будут стоить $0.
Рынок «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?» запланирован к разрешению примерно Jun 30, 2026. Это означает, что торговля остаётся открытой, а коэффициенты продолжат меняться до этой даты. Точные сроки разрешения зависят от момента появления официального результата, как описано в разделе «Правила».
Рынок «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?» имеет активное сообщество из 31 комментариев, где трейдеры делятся своим анализом, обсуждают исходы и последние события. Прокрути вниз до раздела комментариев, чтобы прочитать, что думают другие участники. Ты также можешь фильтровать по «Топ-держателям» или проверить вкладку «Активность» для ленты сделок в реальном времени.
Polymarket — крупнейший в мире рынок прогнозов, где ты можешь оставаться в курсе событий и зарабатывать на своих знаниях о реальных событиях. Трейдеры покупают и продают акции на исходы по темам от политики и выборов до криптовалют, финансов, спорта, технологий и культуры, включая рынки вроде «Где Трамп и Путин встретятся в следующий раз?». Цены отражают вероятности в реальном времени, подкреплённые финансовыми убеждениями, зачастую обеспечивая более быстрые и точные сигналы, чем опросы, эксперты или традиционные исследования.
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Часто задаваемые вопросы