Polymarket traders price a 63% implied probability on Argentina's April monthly CPI falling in the 2.5–2.7% range, reflecting consensus from private estimates and the Central Bank's REM survey pegging April inflation at 2.6%, down from March's 3.4% print that exceeded forecasts amid persistent food and regulated price pressures. This positioning stems from early private gauges—such as Libertad y Progreso at 2.4% for Greater Buenos Aires and analyst medians around 2.5%—signaling Milei administration fiscal austerity and monetary restraint yielding further deceleration, with lower bands at 20.5% capturing upside risks from seasonal factors. Official INDEC data, due May 14, remains the key resolution catalyst amid year-to-date inflation of roughly 9.4%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Monthly Inflation - April
Argentina Monthly Inflation - April
2.5–2.7% 66%
2.2–2.4% 20%
2.8–3.0% 12%
3.1–3.3% 2.5%
$12,294 ปริมาณ
$12,294 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.7%
66%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
2%
3.4–3.6%
<1%
3.7–3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
2.5–2.7% 66%
2.2–2.4% 20%
2.8–3.0% 12%
3.1–3.3% 2.5%
$12,294 ปริมาณ
$12,294 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
≤2.1%
$1,635 ปริมาณ
1%
2.2–2.4%
$1,503 ปริมาณ
20%
2.5–2.7%
$1,103 ปริมาณ
66%
2.8–3.0%
$2,089 ปริมาณ
12%
3.1–3.3%
$1,874 ปริมาณ
2%
3.4–3.6%
$1,312 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.7–3.9%
$1,785 ปริมาณ
<1%
4.0%+
$993 ปริมาณ
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 63% implied probability on Argentina's April monthly CPI falling in the 2.5–2.7% range, reflecting consensus from private estimates and the Central Bank's REM survey pegging April inflation at 2.6%, down from March's 3.4% print that exceeded forecasts amid persistent food and regulated price pressures. This positioning stems from early private gauges—such as Libertad y Progreso at 2.4% for Greater Buenos Aires and analyst medians around 2.5%—signaling Milei administration fiscal austerity and monetary restraint yielding further deceleration, with lower bands at 20.5% capturing upside risks from seasonal factors. Official INDEC data, due May 14, remains the key resolution catalyst amid year-to-date inflation of roughly 9.4%.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 20, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,294วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 20, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 63% implied probability on Argentina's April monthly CPI falling in the 2.5–2.7% range, reflecting consensus from private estimates and the Central Bank's REM survey pegging April inflation at 2.6%, down from March's 3.4% print that exceeded forecasts amid persistent food and regulated price pressures. This positioning stems from early private gauges—such as Libertad y Progreso at 2.4% for Greater Buenos Aires and analyst medians around 2.5%—signaling Milei administration fiscal austerity and monetary restraint yielding further deceleration, with lower bands at 20.5% capturing upside risks from seasonal factors. Official INDEC data, due May 14, remains the key resolution catalyst amid year-to-date inflation of roughly 9.4%.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,294วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 20, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 63% implied probability on Argentina's April monthly CPI falling in the 2.5–2.7% range, reflecting consensus from private estimates and the Central Bank's REM survey pegging April inflation at 2.6%, down from March's 3.4% print that exceeded forecasts amid persistent food and regulated price pressures. This positioning stems from early private gauges—such as Libertad y Progreso at 2.4% for Greater Buenos Aires and analyst medians around 2.5%—signaling Milei administration fiscal austerity and monetary restraint yielding further deceleration, with lower bands at 20.5% capturing upside risks from seasonal factors. Official INDEC data, due May 14, remains the key resolution catalyst amid year-to-date inflation of roughly 9.4%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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