In Brazil’s 2026 presidential election, traders view Romeu Zema and Renan Santos as the leading contenders for third place in the first round, with nearly identical implied probabilities that highlight the fragmented opposition field. Ronaldo Caiado sits further back, while candidates tied to the Bolsonaro family or the current administration trail amid early positioning for state and national alliances. The close contest reflects uncertainty over which centrist or regional figure can consolidate enough support in key states before October, with no decisive primary outcomes or major endorsements yet separating the top two. Upcoming state conventions, national polling shifts, and coalition negotiations could widen the gap by clarifying voter preferences and alliance structures ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRomeu Zema 33%
Renan Santos 31%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5.9%
$280,350 ปริมาณ
$280,350 ปริมาณ

Romeu Zema
33%

Renan Santos
31%

Ronaldo Caiado
19%

Flávio Bolsonaro
6%

Michelle Bolsonaro
5%

Fernando Haddad
4%

Camilo Santana
2%

Helder Barbalho
2%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%

Eduardo Leite
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
1%

Tereza Cristina
1%

Geraldo Alckmin
1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Romeu Zema 33%
Renan Santos 31%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5.9%
$280,350 ปริมาณ
$280,350 ปริมาณ

Romeu Zema
33%

Renan Santos
31%

Ronaldo Caiado
19%

Flávio Bolsonaro
6%

Michelle Bolsonaro
5%

Fernando Haddad
4%

Camilo Santana
2%

Helder Barbalho
2%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%

Eduardo Leite
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
1%

Tereza Cristina
1%

Geraldo Alckmin
1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Brazil’s 2026 presidential election, traders view Romeu Zema and Renan Santos as the leading contenders for third place in the first round, with nearly identical implied probabilities that highlight the fragmented opposition field. Ronaldo Caiado sits further back, while candidates tied to the Bolsonaro family or the current administration trail amid early positioning for state and national alliances. The close contest reflects uncertainty over which centrist or regional figure can consolidate enough support in key states before October, with no decisive primary outcomes or major endorsements yet separating the top two. Upcoming state conventions, national polling shifts, and coalition negotiations could widen the gap by clarifying voter preferences and alliance structures ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย