Persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical uncertainties have anchored trader consensus around a Pause–Pause–Pause sequence for the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, with the federal funds rate held steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range. March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from Middle East developments, while the April meeting produced an 8-4 split with hawkish dissent and no signal of near-term easing. Softer labor market data, including April nonfarm payrolls of 115,000 and 4.3% unemployment, have not yet offset sticky core readings near 3.2%. The June 16–17 decision could shift odds if the May CPI release shows meaningful disinflation or payrolls weaken sharply, though current market-implied probabilities reflect limited scope for a cut.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการตัดสินใจของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐ (มี .ค .- มิ .ย.)
การตัดสินใจของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐ (มี .ค .- มิ .ย.)
พัก–พัก–พัก 98.2%
หยุด–หยุด–ลด 1.3%
อื่นๆ <1%
$1,106,006 ปริมาณ
$1,106,006 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
พัก–พัก–พัก
98%
หยุด–หยุด–ลด
1%
อื่นๆ
1%
พัก–พัก–พัก 98.2%
หยุด–หยุด–ลด 1.3%
อื่นๆ <1%
$1,106,006 ปริมาณ
$1,106,006 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
พัก–พัก–พัก
$63,672 ปริมาณ
98%
หยุด–หยุด–ลด
$42,453 ปริมาณ
1%
อื่นๆ
$254,539 ปริมาณ
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflation pressures and geopolitical uncertainties have anchored trader consensus around a Pause–Pause–Pause sequence for the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, with the federal funds rate held steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range. March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from Middle East developments, while the April meeting produced an 8-4 split with hawkish dissent and no signal of near-term easing. Softer labor market data, including April nonfarm payrolls of 115,000 and 4.3% unemployment, have not yet offset sticky core readings near 3.2%. The June 16–17 decision could shift odds if the May CPI release shows meaningful disinflation or payrolls weaken sharply, though current market-implied probabilities reflect limited scope for a cut.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,106,006วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflation pressures and geopolitical uncertainties have anchored trader consensus around a Pause–Pause–Pause sequence for the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, with the federal funds rate held steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range. March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from Middle East developments, while the April meeting produced an 8-4 split with hawkish dissent and no signal of near-term easing. Softer labor market data, including April nonfarm payrolls of 115,000 and 4.3% unemployment, have not yet offset sticky core readings near 3.2%. The June 16–17 decision could shift odds if the May CPI release shows meaningful disinflation or payrolls weaken sharply, though current market-implied probabilities reflect limited scope for a cut.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,106,006วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical uncertainties have anchored trader consensus around a Pause–Pause–Pause sequence for the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, with the federal funds rate held steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range. March CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from Middle East developments, while the April meeting produced an 8-4 split with hawkish dissent and no signal of near-term easing. Softer labor market data, including April nonfarm payrolls of 115,000 and 4.3% unemployment, have not yet offset sticky core readings near 3.2%. The June 16–17 decision could shift odds if the May CPI release shows meaningful disinflation or payrolls weaken sharply, though current market-implied probabilities reflect limited scope for a cut.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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