Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,201 ปริมาณ
$63,201 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
Yes
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,201 ปริมาณ
$63,201 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
$9,296 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$7,260 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$2,682 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$3,107 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$2,088 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$3,704 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$2,475 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$2,543 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$7,599 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$13,587 ปริมาณ
No
90°F or higher
$8,861 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,201วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,201วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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