India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,262 ปริมาณ
$44,262 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,262 ปริมาณ
$44,262 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
$9,267 ปริมาณ
100%
42°C
$3,228 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C
$4,330 ปริมาณ
<1%
44°C
$5,366 ปริมาณ
<1%
45°C
$3,133 ปริมาณ
<1%
46°C
$2,804 ปริมาณ
<1%
47°C
$6,569 ปริมาณ
<1%
48°C
$6,610 ปริมาณ
<1%
49°C
$862 ปริมาณ
<1%
50°C
$908 ปริมาณ
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,262วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,262วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndia Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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