Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET model runs position 23–24 °C as the most probable maximum temperature for Madrid on May 18, with light southerly flow under a broad ridge of high pressure limiting daytime heating. Stable conditions and minimal cloud cover are expected to support a modest warming trend from the prior day, though slight discrepancies among ensemble members keep 25 °C within reach. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest deterministic guidance and local observations heavily, resulting in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on May 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 18?
24°C 45%
23°C 28%
25°C 19%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
28%
24°C
45%
25°C
19%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
23°C 28%
25°C 19%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$388 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$785 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,299 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$851 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$1,106 ปริมาณ
8%
23°C
$969 ปริมาณ
28%
24°C
$679 ปริมาณ
45%
25°C
$752 ปริมาณ
19%
26°C
$252 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$299 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C or higher
$512 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET model runs position 23–24 °C as the most probable maximum temperature for Madrid on May 18, with light southerly flow under a broad ridge of high pressure limiting daytime heating. Stable conditions and minimal cloud cover are expected to support a modest warming trend from the prior day, though slight discrepancies among ensemble members keep 25 °C within reach. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest deterministic guidance and local observations heavily, resulting in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,893วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET model runs position 23–24 °C as the most probable maximum temperature for Madrid on May 18, with light southerly flow under a broad ridge of high pressure limiting daytime heating. Stable conditions and minimal cloud cover are expected to support a modest warming trend from the prior day, though slight discrepancies among ensemble members keep 25 °C within reach. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest deterministic guidance and local observations heavily, resulting in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,893วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET model runs position 23–24 °C as the most probable maximum temperature for Madrid on May 18, with light southerly flow under a broad ridge of high pressure limiting daytime heating. Stable conditions and minimal cloud cover are expected to support a modest warming trend from the prior day, though slight discrepancies among ensemble members keep 25 °C within reach. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest deterministic guidance and local observations heavily, resulting in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these two outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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