The market's decisive consensus on 15°C as Munich's highest temperature on May 15 stems from official surface observations by the German Weather Service, which recorded a precise daily maximum under a stable high-pressure regime with northwest winds limiting diurnal warming to modest levels. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts had consistently projected this outcome, citing partial cloud cover and a residual cool maritime air mass that suppressed readings below the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18°C. These verified station data, aligned across multiple Munich sites, anchor the market-implied odds. Only an unforeseen post-analysis correction to the observation record or a redefinition of the 24-hour measurement window could shift the result, though both remain statistically improbable given the robustness of the monitoring network.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 15?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$74,028 ปริมาณ
$74,028 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$74,028 ปริมาณ
$74,028 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
$807 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$1,225 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$2,087 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$2,369 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$4,586 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$4,711 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$6,818 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$12,481 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$14,419 ปริมาณ
Yes
16°C
$18,017 ปริมาณ
No
17°C or higher
$6,509 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive consensus on 15°C as Munich's highest temperature on May 15 stems from official surface observations by the German Weather Service, which recorded a precise daily maximum under a stable high-pressure regime with northwest winds limiting diurnal warming to modest levels. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts had consistently projected this outcome, citing partial cloud cover and a residual cool maritime air mass that suppressed readings below the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18°C. These verified station data, aligned across multiple Munich sites, anchor the market-implied odds. Only an unforeseen post-analysis correction to the observation record or a redefinition of the 24-hour measurement window could shift the result, though both remain statistically improbable given the robustness of the monitoring network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74,028วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive consensus on 15°C as Munich's highest temperature on May 15 stems from official surface observations by the German Weather Service, which recorded a precise daily maximum under a stable high-pressure regime with northwest winds limiting diurnal warming to modest levels. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts had consistently projected this outcome, citing partial cloud cover and a residual cool maritime air mass that suppressed readings below the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18°C. These verified station data, aligned across multiple Munich sites, anchor the market-implied odds. Only an unforeseen post-analysis correction to the observation record or a redefinition of the 24-hour measurement window could shift the result, though both remain statistically improbable given the robustness of the monitoring network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74,028วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
The market's decisive consensus on 15°C as Munich's highest temperature on May 15 stems from official surface observations by the German Weather Service, which recorded a precise daily maximum under a stable high-pressure regime with northwest winds limiting diurnal warming to modest levels. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts had consistently projected this outcome, citing partial cloud cover and a residual cool maritime air mass that suppressed readings below the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18°C. These verified station data, aligned across multiple Munich sites, anchor the market-implied odds. Only an unforeseen post-analysis correction to the observation record or a redefinition of the 24-hour measurement window could shift the result, though both remain statistically improbable given the robustness of the monitoring network.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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