Iran's insistence that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right continues to block any near-term agreement, sustaining the market's strong expectation that Tehran will not commit to ending the activity by May 31. Recent statements from senior Iranian officials, including IRGC commanders and Atomic Energy Organization leaders, have reiterated this red line while demanding sanctions relief and an end to hostilities before substantive nuclear talks resume. Ongoing indirect U.S.-Iran discussions have produced counter-proposals with only limited or temporary limits on enrichment, far short of U.S. demands for a long-term moratorium or stockpile removal. With the deadline now two weeks away and no verified concessions or breakthrough announcements, traders view the impasse as unlikely to resolve in time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$615,211 ปริมาณ
$615,211 ปริมาณ
$615,211 ปริมาณ
$615,211 ปริมาณ
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's insistence that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right continues to block any near-term agreement, sustaining the market's strong expectation that Tehran will not commit to ending the activity by May 31. Recent statements from senior Iranian officials, including IRGC commanders and Atomic Energy Organization leaders, have reiterated this red line while demanding sanctions relief and an end to hostilities before substantive nuclear talks resume. Ongoing indirect U.S.-Iran discussions have produced counter-proposals with only limited or temporary limits on enrichment, far short of U.S. demands for a long-term moratorium or stockpile removal. With the deadline now two weeks away and no verified concessions or breakthrough announcements, traders view the impasse as unlikely to resolve in time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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