Jerome Powell’s May 15, 2026, exit as Federal Reserve Chair has left market-implied odds for his full departure from the Board of Governors concentrated on later 2026 dates, reflecting his April 29 confirmation that he will remain a governor until at least the conclusion of the ongoing Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and Powell cited the need to shield monetary policy from political interference as the reason for staying. Traders are pricing in continued uncertainty around potential Trump administration pressure for an earlier exit, though his stated timeline and the legal backdrop have anchored consensus toward a year-end 2026 resolution rather than an immediate departure. Key upcoming catalysts include any further developments in the DOJ investigation and Senate confirmation dynamics for his successor, Kevin Warsh.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$323,677 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
May 30
2%
December 31
46%
$323,677 ปริมาณ
May 30
$200,858 ปริมาณ
2%
December 31
$122,819 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s May 15, 2026, exit as Federal Reserve Chair has left market-implied odds for his full departure from the Board of Governors concentrated on later 2026 dates, reflecting his April 29 confirmation that he will remain a governor until at least the conclusion of the ongoing Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and Powell cited the need to shield monetary policy from political interference as the reason for staying. Traders are pricing in continued uncertainty around potential Trump administration pressure for an earlier exit, though his stated timeline and the legal backdrop have anchored consensus toward a year-end 2026 resolution rather than an immediate departure. Key upcoming catalysts include any further developments in the DOJ investigation and Senate confirmation dynamics for his successor, Kevin Warsh.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$323,677วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s May 15, 2026, exit as Federal Reserve Chair has left market-implied odds for his full departure from the Board of Governors concentrated on later 2026 dates, reflecting his April 29 confirmation that he will remain a governor until at least the conclusion of the ongoing Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and Powell cited the need to shield monetary policy from political interference as the reason for staying. Traders are pricing in continued uncertainty around potential Trump administration pressure for an earlier exit, though his stated timeline and the legal backdrop have anchored consensus toward a year-end 2026 resolution rather than an immediate departure. Key upcoming catalysts include any further developments in the DOJ investigation and Senate confirmation dynamics for his successor, Kevin Warsh.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$323,677วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s May 15, 2026, exit as Federal Reserve Chair has left market-implied odds for his full departure from the Board of Governors concentrated on later 2026 dates, reflecting his April 29 confirmation that he will remain a governor until at least the conclusion of the ongoing Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and Powell cited the need to shield monetary policy from political interference as the reason for staying. Traders are pricing in continued uncertainty around potential Trump administration pressure for an earlier exit, though his stated timeline and the legal backdrop have anchored consensus toward a year-end 2026 resolution rather than an immediate departure. Key upcoming catalysts include any further developments in the DOJ investigation and Senate confirmation dynamics for his successor, Kevin Warsh.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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