**Forecasts from official and meteorological sources point to a daily minimum temperature for Cape Town on August 28, 2026, most likely in the 11–14°C range, consistent with typical late-winter conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and regional pressure patterns.** Early-morning observations and model guidance show temperatures around 10–14°C near dawn, with limited radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Official South African Weather Service outlooks and international models (including ECMWF and GFS ensembles) converge on a minimum near 12–13°C, though some local stations have recorded or projected dips to 11°C or slightly lower under clearer intervals. No strong cold front or unusual atmospheric setup has materialized to drive extremes below 9°C or above 14°C. Trader positioning, with 12°C at 58.5% implied probability and 9–11°C clustered near 40%, reflects this narrow band of forecast outcomes and the inherent uncertainty in short-range minimum-temperature resolution near the 10–12°C threshold. Historical August minima at Cape Town International Airport average around 8–10°C, but current mild conditions and cloud trends support the market's emphasis on the upper end of the typical winter range. Resolution will depend on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the primary observing station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 28?
10°C 1%
8°C <1%
7°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$2,677 ปริมาณ
$2,677 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
-
10°C
1%
11°C
40%
12°C
57%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 1%
8°C <1%
7°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$2,677 ปริมาณ
$2,677 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$154 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$87 ปริมาณ
-
10°C
$77 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$43 ปริมาณ
40%
12°C
$62 ปริมาณ
57%
13°C
$294 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$476 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$164 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$998 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$238 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from official and meteorological sources point to a daily minimum temperature for Cape Town on August 28, 2026, most likely in the 11–14°C range, consistent with typical late-winter conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and regional pressure patterns.**
Early-morning observations and model guidance show temperatures around 10–14°C near dawn, with limited radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Official South African Weather Service outlooks and international models (including ECMWF and GFS ensembles) converge on a minimum near 12–13°C, though some local stations have recorded or projected dips to 11°C or slightly lower under clearer intervals. No strong cold front or unusual atmospheric setup has materialized to drive extremes below 9°C or above 14°C.
Trader positioning, with 12°C at 58.5% implied probability and 9–11°C clustered near 40%, reflects this narrow band of forecast outcomes and the inherent uncertainty in short-range minimum-temperature resolution near the 10–12°C threshold. Historical August minima at Cape Town International Airport average around 8–10°C, but current mild conditions and cloud trends support the market's emphasis on the upper end of the typical winter range. Resolution will depend on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,677วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from official and meteorological sources point to a daily minimum temperature for Cape Town on August 28, 2026, most likely in the 11–14°C range, consistent with typical late-winter conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and regional pressure patterns.**
Early-morning observations and model guidance show temperatures around 10–14°C near dawn, with limited radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Official South African Weather Service outlooks and international models (including ECMWF and GFS ensembles) converge on a minimum near 12–13°C, though some local stations have recorded or projected dips to 11°C or slightly lower under clearer intervals. No strong cold front or unusual atmospheric setup has materialized to drive extremes below 9°C or above 14°C.
Trader positioning, with 12°C at 58.5% implied probability and 9–11°C clustered near 40%, reflects this narrow band of forecast outcomes and the inherent uncertainty in short-range minimum-temperature resolution near the 10–12°C threshold. Historical August minima at Cape Town International Airport average around 8–10°C, but current mild conditions and cloud trends support the market's emphasis on the upper end of the typical winter range. Resolution will depend on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,677วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from official and meteorological sources point to a daily minimum temperature for Cape Town on August 28, 2026, most likely in the 11–14°C range, consistent with typical late-winter conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and regional pressure patterns.** Early-morning observations and model guidance show temperatures around 10–14°C near dawn, with limited radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Official South African Weather Service outlooks and international models (including ECMWF and GFS ensembles) converge on a minimum near 12–13°C, though some local stations have recorded or projected dips to 11°C or slightly lower under clearer intervals. No strong cold front or unusual atmospheric setup has materialized to drive extremes below 9°C or above 14°C. Trader positioning, with 12°C at 58.5% implied probability and 9–11°C clustered near 40%, reflects this narrow band of forecast outcomes and the inherent uncertainty in short-range minimum-temperature resolution near the 10–12°C threshold. Historical August minima at Cape Town International Airport average around 8–10°C, but current mild conditions and cloud trends support the market's emphasis on the upper end of the typical winter range. Resolution will depend on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the primary observing station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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