Trader consensus clusters around 24–26°C for Guangzhou’s September 21 low, reflecting forecast models that show persistent cloud cover and high humidity from monsoon moisture limiting overnight radiative cooling. Dew points near 24–26°C and light southerly winds further suppress temperature drops, while scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 50–77% probability—add uncertainty by trapping heat. Historical averages place the late-September minimum near 23.7°C, but recent model runs and current conditions favor slightly warmer readings. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing skies or heavier rain bands before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
24°C 95%
20°C or below 94%
23°C 90%
26°C 50%
20°C or below
94%
21°C
9%
22°C
18%
23°C
90%
24°C
95%
25°C
48%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 95%
20°C or below 94%
23°C 90%
26°C 50%
20°C or below
94%
21°C
9%
22°C
18%
23°C
90%
24°C
95%
25°C
48%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 24–26°C for Guangzhou’s September 21 low, reflecting forecast models that show persistent cloud cover and high humidity from monsoon moisture limiting overnight radiative cooling. Dew points near 24–26°C and light southerly winds further suppress temperature drops, while scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 50–77% probability—add uncertainty by trapping heat. Historical averages place the late-September minimum near 23.7°C, but recent model runs and current conditions favor slightly warmer readings. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing skies or heavier rain bands before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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