Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph from the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (80–90%) and mostly cloudy skies, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated. Below-normal monsoon rainfall linked to El Niño conditions has reduced cloud variability and moisture influx, supporting stable rather than cooler readings compared to historical August averages of ~27°C. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn) and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture, with updated model runs expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
31°C or higher 93%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
22°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
48%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
19%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
27%
29°C
49%
30°C
48%
31°C or higher
93%
31°C or higher 93%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
22°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
48%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
47%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
49%
25°C
$364 ปริมาณ
19%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$112 ปริมาณ
40%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
49%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
48%
31°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph from the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (80–90%) and mostly cloudy skies, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated. Below-normal monsoon rainfall linked to El Niño conditions has reduced cloud variability and moisture influx, supporting stable rather than cooler readings compared to historical August averages of ~27°C. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn) and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture, with updated model runs expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$511วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph from the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (80–90%) and mostly cloudy skies, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated. Below-normal monsoon rainfall linked to El Niño conditions has reduced cloud variability and moisture influx, supporting stable rather than cooler readings compared to historical August averages of ~27°C. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn) and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture, with updated model runs expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$511วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph from the Arabian Sea, combined with high humidity (80–90%) and mostly cloudy skies, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows elevated. Below-normal monsoon rainfall linked to El Niño conditions has reduced cloud variability and moisture influx, supporting stable rather than cooler readings compared to historical August averages of ~27°C. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn) and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture, with updated model runs expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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