Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C for London on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological June minimums near 12–14°C and follows the transition from May’s record warmth to near-normal early-summer patterns. Traders have converged on the 13°C outcome at 99% implied probability because official guidance and observational trends show little deviation expected before resolution. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that enhances cooling beyond current model consensus, potentially dropping the reading to 12°C or lower at the recording station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$21,534 ปริมาณ
$21,534 ปริมาณ
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$21,534 ปริมาณ
$21,534 ปริมาณ
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C for London on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological June minimums near 12–14°C and follows the transition from May’s record warmth to near-normal early-summer patterns. Traders have converged on the 13°C outcome at 99% implied probability because official guidance and observational trends show little deviation expected before resolution. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that enhances cooling beyond current model consensus, potentially dropping the reading to 12°C or lower at the recording station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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