Persistent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity are the main factors keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 25–28°C for Lucknow’s September 1 minimum. Official short-range guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models shows overnight lows near 24–27°C, reflecting limited radiative cooling under overcast skies and light easterly winds. Historical September climatology for the region centers on similar nighttime values, with modest day-to-day variability driven by rainfall timing and moisture advection. The narrow spread in trader consensus therefore tracks the current forecast envelope and the limited scope for significant cooling or warming before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
23°C 49%
26°C 31%
25°C 30%
31°C or higher 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
21°C or below
6%
22°C
7%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C
31%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
29%
23°C 49%
26°C 31%
25°C 30%
31°C or higher 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
21°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity are the main factors keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 25–28°C for Lucknow’s September 1 minimum. Official short-range guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models shows overnight lows near 24–27°C, reflecting limited radiative cooling under overcast skies and light easterly winds. Historical September climatology for the region centers on similar nighttime values, with modest day-to-day variability driven by rainfall timing and moisture advection. The narrow spread in trader consensus therefore tracks the current forecast envelope and the limited scope for significant cooling or warming before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity are the main factors keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 25–28°C for Lucknow’s September 1 minimum. Official short-range guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models shows overnight lows near 24–27°C, reflecting limited radiative cooling under overcast skies and light easterly winds. Historical September climatology for the region centers on similar nighttime values, with modest day-to-day variability driven by rainfall timing and moisture advection. The narrow spread in trader consensus therefore tracks the current forecast envelope and the limited scope for significant cooling or warming before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity are the main factors keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 25–28°C for Lucknow’s September 1 minimum. Official short-range guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models shows overnight lows near 24–27°C, reflecting limited radiative cooling under overcast skies and light easterly winds. Historical September climatology for the region centers on similar nighttime values, with modest day-to-day variability driven by rainfall timing and moisture advection. The narrow spread in trader consensus therefore tracks the current forecast envelope and the limited scope for significant cooling or warming before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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