**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) point to an overnight low in Miami of 80–83°F on August 28, 2026, with the bulk of guidance clustering near 81–82°F.** This supports the market’s strong preference for the 80–81°F bin at 84% implied probability, as persistent tropical moisture keeps dew points elevated near 76–80°F and limits radiational cooling under light easterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. High humidity and a stable airmass prevent temperatures from falling into the mid- or upper-70s that are more typical for late August. Recent observations and short-range model runs show no incoming cold front, tropical disturbance, or wind shift that would enhance cooling, reinforcing trader consensus around the warmer end of the historical range. Lower-probability outcomes (78–79°F at 35.5%) remain possible only if skies clear more than expected or winds briefly calm, but current NHC and NWS guidance shows little support for that scenario before midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 28?
80-81°F 88%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 5%
74-75°F 2%
$2,937 ปริมาณ
$2,937 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
84%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 88%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 5%
74-75°F 2%
$2,937 ปริมาณ
$2,937 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$860 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$166 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$51 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$51 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$168 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$149 ปริมาณ
5%
78-79°F
$339 ปริมาณ
22%
80-81°F
$289 ปริมาณ
84%
82-83°F
$585 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$164 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$114 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) point to an overnight low in Miami of 80–83°F on August 28, 2026, with the bulk of guidance clustering near 81–82°F.** This supports the market’s strong preference for the 80–81°F bin at 84% implied probability, as persistent tropical moisture keeps dew points elevated near 76–80°F and limits radiational cooling under light easterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.
High humidity and a stable airmass prevent temperatures from falling into the mid- or upper-70s that are more typical for late August. Recent observations and short-range model runs show no incoming cold front, tropical disturbance, or wind shift that would enhance cooling, reinforcing trader consensus around the warmer end of the historical range. Lower-probability outcomes (78–79°F at 35.5%) remain possible only if skies clear more than expected or winds briefly calm, but current NHC and NWS guidance shows little support for that scenario before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,937วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) point to an overnight low in Miami of 80–83°F on August 28, 2026, with the bulk of guidance clustering near 81–82°F.** This supports the market’s strong preference for the 80–81°F bin at 84% implied probability, as persistent tropical moisture keeps dew points elevated near 76–80°F and limits radiational cooling under light easterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.
High humidity and a stable airmass prevent temperatures from falling into the mid- or upper-70s that are more typical for late August. Recent observations and short-range model runs show no incoming cold front, tropical disturbance, or wind shift that would enhance cooling, reinforcing trader consensus around the warmer end of the historical range. Lower-probability outcomes (78–79°F at 35.5%) remain possible only if skies clear more than expected or winds briefly calm, but current NHC and NWS guidance shows little support for that scenario before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,937วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) point to an overnight low in Miami of 80–83°F on August 28, 2026, with the bulk of guidance clustering near 81–82°F.** This supports the market’s strong preference for the 80–81°F bin at 84% implied probability, as persistent tropical moisture keeps dew points elevated near 76–80°F and limits radiational cooling under light easterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. High humidity and a stable airmass prevent temperatures from falling into the mid- or upper-70s that are more typical for late August. Recent observations and short-range model runs show no incoming cold front, tropical disturbance, or wind shift that would enhance cooling, reinforcing trader consensus around the warmer end of the historical range. Lower-probability outcomes (78–79°F at 35.5%) remain possible only if skies clear more than expected or winds briefly calm, but current NHC and NWS guidance shows little support for that scenario before midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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