**Forecast consensus from official sources and models places the overnight low in Incheon/Seoul on August 29 around 24–25 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 49.5 % and 24 °C at 20.5 %).** KMA aerodrome forecasts explicitly list a 25 °C minimum, while Met Office, WeatherBug, and other ensembles show nighttime values clustering between 24–25 °C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and 50–70 % rain chances that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 23–24 °C further suppress temperature drops by maintaining elevated humidity and cloud cover. Recent observations on August 28 confirm warm, moist conditions (current temps 28–30 °C with thunderstorms), setting up a stable airmass with no strong cold advection expected overnight. This produces a narrow distribution around the 24–25 °C range, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes that would require atypical clear skies or unexpected warming. Traders are pricing the high-confidence model consensus for this short-range, high-resolution forecast window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
25°C 50%
24°C 17%
26°C 8%
22°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
21%
24°C
17%
25°C
50%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 50%
24°C 17%
26°C 8%
22°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$73 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$73 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$194 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$99 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C
$68 ปริมาณ
21%
24°C
$82 ปริมาณ
17%
25°C
$400 ปริมาณ
50%
26°C
$156 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$183 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources and models places the overnight low in Incheon/Seoul on August 29 around 24–25 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 49.5 % and 24 °C at 20.5 %).**
KMA aerodrome forecasts explicitly list a 25 °C minimum, while Met Office, WeatherBug, and other ensembles show nighttime values clustering between 24–25 °C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and 50–70 % rain chances that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 23–24 °C further suppress temperature drops by maintaining elevated humidity and cloud cover.
Recent observations on August 28 confirm warm, moist conditions (current temps 28–30 °C with thunderstorms), setting up a stable airmass with no strong cold advection expected overnight. This produces a narrow distribution around the 24–25 °C range, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes that would require atypical clear skies or unexpected warming. Traders are pricing the high-confidence model consensus for this short-range, high-resolution forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,370วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources and models places the overnight low in Incheon/Seoul on August 29 around 24–25 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 49.5 % and 24 °C at 20.5 %).**
KMA aerodrome forecasts explicitly list a 25 °C minimum, while Met Office, WeatherBug, and other ensembles show nighttime values clustering between 24–25 °C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and 50–70 % rain chances that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 23–24 °C further suppress temperature drops by maintaining elevated humidity and cloud cover.
Recent observations on August 28 confirm warm, moist conditions (current temps 28–30 °C with thunderstorms), setting up a stable airmass with no strong cold advection expected overnight. This produces a narrow distribution around the 24–25 °C range, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes that would require atypical clear skies or unexpected warming. Traders are pricing the high-confidence model consensus for this short-range, high-resolution forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,370วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official sources and models places the overnight low in Incheon/Seoul on August 29 around 24–25 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 49.5 % and 24 °C at 20.5 %).** KMA aerodrome forecasts explicitly list a 25 °C minimum, while Met Office, WeatherBug, and other ensembles show nighttime values clustering between 24–25 °C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and 50–70 % rain chances that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 23–24 °C further suppress temperature drops by maintaining elevated humidity and cloud cover. Recent observations on August 28 confirm warm, moist conditions (current temps 28–30 °C with thunderstorms), setting up a stable airmass with no strong cold advection expected overnight. This produces a narrow distribution around the 24–25 °C range, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes that would require atypical clear skies or unexpected warming. Traders are pricing the high-confidence model consensus for this short-range, high-resolution forecast window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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