Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on September 15 will likely fall in the 22–24°C range, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This aligns with historical September baselines where diurnal cooling produces lows near 23°C amid dew points around 20°C and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus on the extremes at 37% each reflects model spread in exact timing of the daily minimum and potential microclimate variations near the coast, while mid-range outcomes around 23–24°C capture the strongest alignment with current NHC-style guidance and ensemble runs. Updated model outputs expected overnight will refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 15?
29°C or higher 76%
19°C or below 75%
23°C 23%
24°C 23%
19°C or below
75%
20°C
20%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
22%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
76%
29°C or higher 76%
19°C or below 75%
23°C 23%
24°C 23%
19°C or below
75%
20°C
20%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
22%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on September 15 will likely fall in the 22–24°C range, driven by clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This aligns with historical September baselines where diurnal cooling produces lows near 23°C amid dew points around 20°C and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus on the extremes at 37% each reflects model spread in exact timing of the daily minimum and potential microclimate variations near the coast, while mid-range outcomes around 23–24°C capture the strongest alignment with current NHC-style guidance and ensemble runs. Updated model outputs expected overnight will refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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