Recent forecasts from European models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C, driven by clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure system limiting warm-air advection. Recent days have seen similar patterns with overnight lows near 13–15°C amid seasonal norms of 10–12°C for mid-September. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the leading outcome because models show limited downward revision potential absent unexpected cloud cover or a stronger northerly flow, while higher bins reflect uncertainty in daytime mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum. New high-resolution runs and local station observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
7°C or below 83%
17°C or higher 51%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
7°C or below
83%
8°C
17%
9°C
25%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
51%
7°C or below 83%
17°C or higher 51%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
7°C or below
$67 ปริมาณ
83%
8°C
$10 ปริมาณ
17%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
15°C
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
16°C
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
17°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C, driven by clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure system limiting warm-air advection. Recent days have seen similar patterns with overnight lows near 13–15°C amid seasonal norms of 10–12°C for mid-September. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the leading outcome because models show limited downward revision potential absent unexpected cloud cover or a stronger northerly flow, while higher bins reflect uncertainty in daytime mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum. New high-resolution runs and local station observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$107วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C, driven by clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure system limiting warm-air advection. Recent days have seen similar patterns with overnight lows near 13–15°C amid seasonal norms of 10–12°C for mid-September. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the leading outcome because models show limited downward revision potential absent unexpected cloud cover or a stronger northerly flow, while higher bins reflect uncertainty in daytime mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum. New high-resolution runs and local station observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$107วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C, driven by clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure system limiting warm-air advection. Recent days have seen similar patterns with overnight lows near 13–15°C amid seasonal norms of 10–12°C for mid-September. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the leading outcome because models show limited downward revision potential absent unexpected cloud cover or a stronger northerly flow, while higher bins reflect uncertainty in daytime mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum. New high-resolution runs and local station observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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