Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMarília Arraes 77%
Samuel Timoteo 14%
Mailson da Silva Neto 7%
Mariano Macedo 5.2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
77%
Samuel Timoteo
12%
Mailson da Silva Neto
7%
Mariano Macedo
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
5%
Gorett Bitu
5%
Mendonça Filho
5%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
2%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
13%
Humberto Costa
1%
Eduardo da Fonte
-
Marília Arraes 77%
Samuel Timoteo 14%
Mailson da Silva Neto 7%
Mariano Macedo 5.2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
$281 ปริมาณ
77%
Samuel Timoteo
$123 ปริมาณ
12%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$140 ปริมาณ
7%
Mariano Macedo
$116 ปริมาณ
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
$116 ปริมาณ
5%
Gorett Bitu
$116 ปริมาณ
5%
Mendonça Filho
$116 ปริมาณ
5%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$116 ปริมาณ
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$113 ปริมาณ
2%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$116 ปริมาณ
13%
Humberto Costa
$113 ปริมาณ
1%
Eduardo da Fonte
$113 ปริมาณ
-
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,581วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,581วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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