The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead heading into the October 5 election, driven by strong support among francophone voters and favorable regional distributions that translate into a projected plurality of seats in National Assembly forecasts. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec support has softened under its new leader amid broader fragmentation of the federalist vote between the Liberals and Conservatives, while recent surveys from late September show little post-debate movement. This dynamic underpins trader consensus on the PQ outcome, though a minority result remains the most likely scenario and any late campaign shift in turnout or undecided voters could narrow the seat margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 93%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 7%
PLQ 2.1%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$1,005,207 ปริมาณ
$1,005,207 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
93%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
7%
PLQ
2%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 93%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 7%
PLQ 2.1%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$1,005,207 ปริมาณ
$1,005,207 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$168,354 ปริมาณ
93%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$154,721 ปริมาณ
7%
PLQ
$157,562 ปริมาณ
2%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$260,523 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$106,523 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead heading into the October 5 election, driven by strong support among francophone voters and favorable regional distributions that translate into a projected plurality of seats in National Assembly forecasts. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec support has softened under its new leader amid broader fragmentation of the federalist vote between the Liberals and Conservatives, while recent surveys from late September show little post-debate movement. This dynamic underpins trader consensus on the PQ outcome, though a minority result remains the most likely scenario and any late campaign shift in turnout or undecided voters could narrow the seat margin.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,005,207วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead heading into the October 5 election, driven by strong support among francophone voters and favorable regional distributions that translate into a projected plurality of seats in National Assembly forecasts. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec support has softened under its new leader amid broader fragmentation of the federalist vote between the Liberals and Conservatives, while recent surveys from late September show little post-debate movement. This dynamic underpins trader consensus on the PQ outcome, though a minority result remains the most likely scenario and any late campaign shift in turnout or undecided voters could narrow the seat margin.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,005,207วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead heading into the October 5 election, driven by strong support among francophone voters and favorable regional distributions that translate into a projected plurality of seats in National Assembly forecasts. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec support has softened under its new leader amid broader fragmentation of the federalist vote between the Liberals and Conservatives, while recent surveys from late September show little post-debate movement. This dynamic underpins trader consensus on the PQ outcome, though a minority result remains the most likely scenario and any late campaign shift in turnout or undecided voters could narrow the seat margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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