Jerome Powell's scheduled term expiration as Federal Reserve Chair on May 15 drives the elevated trader consensus for departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by the Senate's recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor. Powell's April 29 announcement that he would step aside from the chair role while remaining on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures on the institution, has clarified the timeline and reduced uncertainty around earlier exits. These developments align with standard four-year term cycles for the position and historical patterns of orderly transitions following Senate confirmation hearings, though Powell's extended governor tenure through 2028 introduces a narrow set of variables that could still shift exact timing within the near-term buckets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 40.9%
May 23–29 32.0%
May 30–June 5 5.1%
June 6–12 2.8%
$172,210 ปริมาณ
$172,210 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
47%
May 23–29
32%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 40.9%
May 23–29 32.0%
May 30–June 5 5.1%
June 6–12 2.8%
$172,210 ปริมาณ
$172,210 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
$65,297 ปริมาณ
47%
May 23–29
$8,463 ปริมาณ
32%
May 30–June 5
$9,161 ปริมาณ
5%
June 6–12
$9,109 ปริมาณ
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 ปริมาณ
2%
June 20–26
$10,436 ปริมาณ
1%
June 27–July 3
$6,326 ปริมาณ
1%
After July 3
$17,613 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's scheduled term expiration as Federal Reserve Chair on May 15 drives the elevated trader consensus for departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by the Senate's recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor. Powell's April 29 announcement that he would step aside from the chair role while remaining on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures on the institution, has clarified the timeline and reduced uncertainty around earlier exits. These developments align with standard four-year term cycles for the position and historical patterns of orderly transitions following Senate confirmation hearings, though Powell's extended governor tenure through 2028 introduces a narrow set of variables that could still shift exact timing within the near-term buckets.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$172,210วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's scheduled term expiration as Federal Reserve Chair on May 15 drives the elevated trader consensus for departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by the Senate's recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor. Powell's April 29 announcement that he would step aside from the chair role while remaining on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures on the institution, has clarified the timeline and reduced uncertainty around earlier exits. These developments align with standard four-year term cycles for the position and historical patterns of orderly transitions following Senate confirmation hearings, though Powell's extended governor tenure through 2028 introduces a narrow set of variables that could still shift exact timing within the near-term buckets.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$172,210วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's scheduled term expiration as Federal Reserve Chair on May 15 drives the elevated trader consensus for departure in the May 15–22 window, reinforced by the Senate's recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor. Powell's April 29 announcement that he would step aside from the chair role while remaining on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures on the institution, has clarified the timeline and reduced uncertainty around earlier exits. These developments align with standard four-year term cycles for the position and historical patterns of orderly transitions following Senate confirmation hearings, though Powell's extended governor tenure through 2028 introduces a narrow set of variables that could still shift exact timing within the near-term buckets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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